Aristarkh Safonov vs Calvin Mueller
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Calvin Mueller, giving them a 78% chance to win against Aristarkh Safonov (22%). Safonov is 3-7 in their last 10, Mueller 8-2.
Prediction
The model makes Calvin Mueller a 78% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Calvin Mueller at -556 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aristarkh Safonov | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6004 | 6410 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2886 | ATP #755 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 9-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 6-12 | 32-24 |
| UTR | 11.76 | 13.47 |
Head to head
Aristarkh Safonov and Calvin Mueller haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Aristarkh Safonov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Aryan Lakshmanan | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Paul Jubb | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Branko Djuric | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Keshav Chopra | L | 6-7, 7-6 |
| 20.06.2026 | Youssef Labbene | L | 7-5, 4-6, 1-0 |
| 13.06.2026 | Francisco Jose Gay | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.04.2026 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 27.04.2026 | Dylan Leeman | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 26.04.2026 | Christopher Sousou | W | 4-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
Calvin Mueller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Maxim Shin | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Abdulaziz Usmonjonov | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Arthur Nagel | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Florent Lagarrigue | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Christian Djonov | W | 7-6, 3-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mika Petkovic | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Flynn Thomas | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Flynn Thomas | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jelle Sels | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Yannik Kelm | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Fergana (Uzbekistan), model gave Aristarkh Safonov 22% at +317
- 2026-10-31: ATP Fergana (Uzbekistan), model gave Aristarkh Safonov 22% at +317
- 2026-10-30: ATP Fergana (Uzbekistan), model gave Aristarkh Safonov 22% at +317
Aristarkh Safonov vs Calvin Mueller: quick answers
Who will win Aristarkh Safonov vs Calvin Mueller?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Calvin Mueller, giving them a 78% chance to win against Aristarkh Safonov (22%).
Have Aristarkh Safonov and Calvin Mueller played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Aristarkh Safonov or Calvin Mueller?
Aristarkh Safonov is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Calvin Mueller is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aristarkh Safonov and Calvin Mueller?
Aristarkh Safonov is rated 6004 (ATP #2886) and Calvin Mueller is rated 6410 (ATP #755). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Aristarkh Safonov vs Calvin Mueller?
Aristarkh Safonov is priced at +317 and Calvin Mueller at -556, which implies a 24% and 85% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.