Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Kristina Kovgan
Updated
Kristina Kovgan beat Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 2-6, 6-4, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Arina Gabriela Vasilescu at 80%. Kristina Kovgan leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Vasilescu is 5-5 in their last 10, Kovgan 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Arina Gabriela Vasilescu a 80% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Arina Gabriela Vasilescu at -1111 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6359 | 6176 |
| Tour rank | WTA #834 | WTA #1390 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 51-31 | 24-20 |
| UTR | 10.72 | 9.65 |
Head to head
Kristina Kovgan leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 | World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
| 16.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 | World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alisa Baranovska | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Emilija Miljkovic | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Laura Svatikova | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Sophie Luescher | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Emily Welker | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 05.09.2026 | Natalia Siedliska | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 04.09.2026 | Diana Marcinkevica | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Laura Correia | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Kristina Kovgan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Emilija Miljkovic | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Laura Svatikova | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Alisa Baranovska | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Sara Nikolic | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Katerina Oustampasidou | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Milica Stosovic | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mariya Yemshanova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Denise Hrdinkova | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | Kristina Kovgan |
|---|---|---|
| Alisa Baranovska | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Emilija Miljkovic | 1-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Laura Svatikova | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Lidia Encheva | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (World), model gave Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 80% at -1111
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Kristina Kovgan: quick answers
Who won Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Kristina Kovgan?
Kristina Kovgan beat Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 2-6, 6-4, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Arina Gabriela Vasilescu at 80%.
What is the head-to-head record between Arina Gabriela Vasilescu and Kristina Kovgan?
Kristina Kovgan leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Kristina Kovgan 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 at World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Arina Gabriela Vasilescu or Kristina Kovgan?
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Kristina Kovgan is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Arina Gabriela Vasilescu and Kristina Kovgan?
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is rated 6359 (WTA #834) and Kristina Kovgan is rated 6176 (WTA #1390). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Kristina Kovgan?
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is priced at -1111 and Kristina Kovgan at +475, which implies a 92% and 17% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.