Arina Arifullina vs Valeria Savinykh

WTA Lagos (POR) (Portugal), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Arina Arifullina beat Valeria Savinykh 1-6, 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Valeria Savinykh at 66%. Arina Arifullina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Arifullina is 6-4 in their last 10, Savinykh 5-5.

Result: Arina Arifullina beat Valeria Savinykh 1-6, 6-2, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Valeria Savinykh.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Valeria Savinykh a 66% favorite. At +225 the sportsbook implies 31% for Arina Arifullina, 3 points below the model's 34%.

Model
34%
Book
31%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
66%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Arina Arifullina at +225 · Model track record

Player comparison

Arina ArifullinaValeria Savinykh
Tennis Gauge rating62476517
Tour rankWTA #1161WTA #520
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days3-24-2
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record24-2025-18
UTR10.1710.82
Elo (52 weeks)–1344
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Arina Arifullina leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Arina Arifullina1-6, 6-2, 6-1Portugal Lagos

Recent form

Arina Arifullina, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Julie Myatovic L7-5, 6-1
09.10.2026Yelyzaveta Kotliar L7-5, 6-2
08.10.2026Valeria Savinykh W1-6, 6-2, 6-1
06.10.2026Baylen Brown W6-0, 6-0
30.09.2026Amandine Hesse L6-0, 6-3
28.09.2026Min Liu W7-5, 6-3
27.09.2026Kennedy Gibbs W7-5, 6-2
14.08.2026Irem Kurt L7-5, 6-2
13.08.2026Ekaterina Kuznetsova W4-6, 6-3, 6-0
11.08.2026Satima Toregen W6-2, 6-1

Valeria Savinykh, last 10

DateOpponentScore
08.10.2026Arina Arifullina L1-6, 6-2, 6-1
07.10.2026Lizette Cabrera W6-4, 2-6, 6-4
29.09.2026Katarzyna Kawa L6-3, 7-5
28.09.2026Irene Burillo Escorihuela W6-4, 6-4
16.09.2026Yujia Huang L6-4, 6-3
14.09.2026Zi Ye Zhang W6-2, 6-0
13.09.2026Sitong Chen W6-0, 3-0
06.09.2026Miho Kuramochi L6-2, 6-0
31.08.2026Priska Madelyn Nugroho L6-1, 4-6, 6-4
30.08.2026Eri Shimizu W4-6, 7-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Arina Arifullina vs Valeria Savinykh: quick answers

Who won Arina Arifullina vs Valeria Savinykh?

Arina Arifullina beat Valeria Savinykh 1-6, 6-2, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Valeria Savinykh at 66%.

What is the head-to-head record between Arina Arifullina and Valeria Savinykh?

Arina Arifullina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Arina Arifullina 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 at Portugal Lagos.

Who is in better form, Arina Arifullina or Valeria Savinykh?

Arina Arifullina is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Valeria Savinykh is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Arina Arifullina and Valeria Savinykh?

Arina Arifullina is rated 6247 (WTA #1161) and Valeria Savinykh is rated 6517 (WTA #520). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Arina Arifullina vs Valeria Savinykh?

Arina Arifullina is priced at +225 and Valeria Savinykh at -345, which implies a 31% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Arina Arifullina 3 points higher than the odds do (34% vs 31%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.