Francesca Pace vs Arianna Zucchini
Updated
Francesca Pace beat Arianna Zucchini 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesca Pace leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pace is 6-4 in their last 10, Zucchini 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francesca Pace a 76% favorite. At -182 the sportsbook implies 65% for Francesca Pace, 12 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Pace at -182 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Francesca Pace | Arianna Zucchini | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6609 | 6492 |
| Tour rank | WTA #384 | WTA #563 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 33-24 | 31-21 |
| UTR | 11.39 | 10.95 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1270 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Francesca Pace leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Francesca Pace | 6-4, 6-1 | USA Redding |
Recent form
Francesca Pace, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Duru Soke | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arianna Zucchini | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Emma Kamper Malmkjaer | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Annika Penickova | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kate Fakih | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Amelie Van Impe | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anna Rogers | W | 7-5, 3-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
Arianna Zucchini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Francesca Pace | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ena Koike | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Irina Balus | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ema Burgic | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Janae Preston | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Maria Aytoyan | W | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 31.07.2026 | Eszter Meri | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.07.2026 | Masa Viriant | W | 6-0, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 28.07.2026 | Khrystyna Vozniak | W | 6-3, 3-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Francesca Pace | Arianna Zucchini |
|---|---|---|
| Ema Burgic | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | 1-0 W 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Margaux Maquet | 0-1 L 2-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Weronika Falkowska | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Redding (USA), model gave Francesca Pace 76% at -182
Francesca Pace vs Arianna Zucchini: quick answers
Who won Francesca Pace vs Arianna Zucchini?
Francesca Pace beat Arianna Zucchini 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Francesca Pace and Arianna Zucchini?
Francesca Pace leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Francesca Pace 6-4, 6-1 at USA Redding.
Who is in better form, Francesca Pace or Arianna Zucchini?
Francesca Pace is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Arianna Zucchini is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesca Pace and Arianna Zucchini?
Francesca Pace is rated 6609 (WTA #384) and Arianna Zucchini is rated 6492 (WTA #563). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Francesca Pace vs Arianna Zucchini?
Francesca Pace is priced at -182 and Arianna Zucchini at +130, which implies a 65% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Pace 12 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.