Tea Kovacevic vs Ariana Geerlings
Updated
Ariana Geerlings beat Tea Kovacevic 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Ariana Geerlings leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kovacevic is 3-7 in their last 10, Geerlings 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ariana Geerlings a 89% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ariana Geerlings at -2000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tea Kovacevic | Ariana Geerlings | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6323 | 6680 |
| Tour rank | WTA #920 | WTA #303 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Losses | 6 Wins |
| Season record | 10-13 | 30-5 |
| UTR | 10.37 | 11.46 |
Head to head
Ariana Geerlings leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | 6-2, 6-4 | Spain Mallorca |
Recent form
Tea Kovacevic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.07.2026 | Rikke De Koning | L | 6-3, 3-1 |
| 15.07.2026 | Alja Senica | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 10.07.2026 | Jialin Tian | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 08.07.2026 | Adela Polakovicova | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 02.07.2026 | Jana Bojovic | L | 0-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 30.06.2026 | Eleejah Inisan | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 16.06.2026 | Stefania Bojica | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.06.2026 | Andrea Obradovic | L | 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 02.06.2026 | Luisa Schruff | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
Ariana Geerlings, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Laura Samson | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Julia Grabher | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Julia Grabher | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lucia Cortez Llorca | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Tea Kovacevic | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Aurora Zantedeschi | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Laura Boehner | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Lucia Cortez Llorca | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Mallorca (Spain), model gave Tea Kovacevic 11% at +739
Tea Kovacevic vs Ariana Geerlings: quick answers
Who won Tea Kovacevic vs Ariana Geerlings?
Ariana Geerlings beat Tea Kovacevic 6-2, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Tea Kovacevic and Ariana Geerlings?
Ariana Geerlings leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Ariana Geerlings 6-2, 6-4 at Spain Mallorca.
Who is in better form, Tea Kovacevic or Ariana Geerlings?
Tea Kovacevic is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Ariana Geerlings is 7-3 (current streak: 6 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tea Kovacevic and Ariana Geerlings?
Tea Kovacevic is rated 6323 (WTA #920) and Ariana Geerlings is rated 6680 (WTA #303). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tea Kovacevic vs Ariana Geerlings?
Tea Kovacevic is priced at +739 and Ariana Geerlings at -2000, which implies a 12% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.