Raphaelle Lacasse vs Ariana Arseneault
Updated
Ariana Arseneault beat Raphaelle Lacasse 6-1, 2-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lacasse is 4-6 in their last 10, Arseneault 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ariana Arseneault a 63% favorite. At +227 the sportsbook implies 31% for Raphaelle Lacasse, 6 points below the model's 37%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Raphaelle Lacasse at +227 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Raphaelle Lacasse | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6404 | 6611 |
| Tour rank | WTA #722 | WTA #379 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 15-14 | 42-31 |
| UTR | 10.88 | 11.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1266 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 | Canada Saguenay |
Recent form
Raphaelle Lacasse, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Vivian Yang | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jamilah Snells | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Andrea Cabio | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Amy Lu | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Angelina Voloshchuk | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 09.09.2026 | Katarina Kuzmova | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Lina Glushko | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 02.09.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Ariana Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Raphaelle Lacasse | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Justina Mikulskyte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Angelina Voloshchuk | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Raphaelle Lacasse | Ariana Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Vagramov | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 2-0 |
| Andrea Cabio | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Angelina Voloshchuk | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-3 L 6-3, 7-5, L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Berta Bonardi | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Katarina Kuzmova | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Madison Sieg | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
Raphaelle Lacasse vs Ariana Arseneault: quick answers
Who won Raphaelle Lacasse vs Ariana Arseneault?
Ariana Arseneault beat Raphaelle Lacasse 6-1, 2-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Raphaelle Lacasse and Ariana Arseneault?
Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Ariana Arseneault 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 at Canada Saguenay.
Who is in better form, Raphaelle Lacasse or Ariana Arseneault?
Raphaelle Lacasse is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Ariana Arseneault is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Raphaelle Lacasse and Ariana Arseneault?
Raphaelle Lacasse is rated 6404 (WTA #722) and Ariana Arseneault is rated 6611 (WTA #379). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Raphaelle Lacasse vs Ariana Arseneault?
Raphaelle Lacasse is priced at +227 and Ariana Arseneault at -357, which implies a 31% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Raphaelle Lacasse 6 points higher than the odds do (37% vs 31%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.