Madison Sieg vs Ariana Arseneault
Updated
Ariana Arseneault beat Madison Sieg 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Madison Sieg at 66%. Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sieg is 6-4 in their last 10, Arseneault 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Madison Sieg a 66% favorite. At +114 the sportsbook implies 47% for Madison Sieg, 19 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Madison Sieg at +114 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Madison Sieg | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6608 | 6611 |
| Tour rank | WTA #387 | WTA #379 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-27 | 42-31 |
| UTR | 11.24 | 11.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1349 | 1266 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | 6-4, 6-4 | Canada Quebec City |
Recent form
Madison Sieg, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Kisa Yoshioka | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Carolina Kuhl | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jule Niemeier | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Ruth Roura Llaverias | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Tena Lukas | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Ariana Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Raphaelle Lacasse | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Justina Mikulskyte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Angelina Voloshchuk | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Madison Sieg | Ariana Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Gasanova | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Anastasia Tikhonova | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-5, 7-5 |
| Elizabeth Mandlik | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| Raphaelle Lacasse | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Sara Saito | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
1-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: WTA Quebec City (Canada), model gave Madison Sieg 66% at +114
Madison Sieg vs Ariana Arseneault: quick answers
Who won Madison Sieg vs Ariana Arseneault?
Ariana Arseneault beat Madison Sieg 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Madison Sieg at 66%.
What is the head-to-head record between Madison Sieg and Ariana Arseneault?
Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Ariana Arseneault 6-4, 6-4 at Canada Quebec City.
Who is in better form, Madison Sieg or Ariana Arseneault?
Madison Sieg is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ariana Arseneault is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Madison Sieg and Ariana Arseneault?
Madison Sieg is rated 6608 (WTA #387) and Ariana Arseneault is rated 6611 (WTA #379). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Madison Sieg vs Ariana Arseneault?
Madison Sieg is priced at +114 and Ariana Arseneault at -154, which implies a 47% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Madison Sieg 19 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.