Ariana Arseneault vs Justina Mikulskyte
Updated
Ariana Arseneault beat Justina Mikulskyte 6-1, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Justina Mikulskyte at 66%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Arseneault is 6-4 in their last 10, Mikulskyte 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Justina Mikulskyte a 66% favorite. At -111 the sportsbook implies 53% for Justina Mikulskyte, 13 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Justina Mikulskyte at -111 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ariana Arseneault | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6611 | 6617 |
| Tour rank | WTA #379 | WTA #370 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 42-31 | 40-41 |
| UTR | 11.07 | 11.2 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1266 | 1397 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | 6-1, 6-1 | Canada Quebec City |
| 12.12.2025 | Justina Mikulskyte | 6-0, 6-2 | Tunisia Monastir X |
Recent form
Ariana Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Raphaelle Lacasse | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Justina Mikulskyte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Angelina Voloshchuk | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
Justina Mikulskyte, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Cadence Brace | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Caterina Odorizzi | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 27.10.2026 | Giulia Alessia Monteleone | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Hiromi Abe | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Isabella Marton | W | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Paula Badosa | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Chloe Paquet | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.09.2026 | Antonia Vergara Rivera | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ariana Arseneault | Justina Mikulskyte |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Bertacchi | 0-1 L 1-6, 6-0, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Anastasia Gasanova | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 6-0 |
| Isabella Marton | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| Michaela Bayerlova | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Nahia Berecoechea | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-0, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Quebec City (Canada), model gave Ariana Arseneault 34% at -125
Ariana Arseneault vs Justina Mikulskyte: quick answers
Who won Ariana Arseneault vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Ariana Arseneault beat Justina Mikulskyte 6-1, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Justina Mikulskyte at 66%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ariana Arseneault and Justina Mikulskyte?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Ariana Arseneault 6-1, 6-1 at Canada Quebec City.
Who is in better form, Ariana Arseneault or Justina Mikulskyte?
Ariana Arseneault is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Justina Mikulskyte is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ariana Arseneault and Justina Mikulskyte?
Ariana Arseneault is rated 6611 (WTA #379) and Justina Mikulskyte is rated 6617 (WTA #370). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ariana Arseneault vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Ariana Arseneault is priced at -125 and Justina Mikulskyte at -111, which implies a 56% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Justina Mikulskyte 13 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.