Ayana Akli vs Ariana Arseneault
Updated
Ariana Arseneault beat Ayana Akli 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Ayana Akli at 81%. Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Akli is 6-4 in their last 10, Arseneault 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ayana Akli a 81% favorite. At -189 the sportsbook implies 65% for Ayana Akli, 16 points below the model's 81%.
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model minus book: -25 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ayana Akli at -189 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ayana Akli | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6698 | 6611 |
| Tour rank | WTA #285 | WTA #379 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 28-28 | 42-31 |
| UTR | 11.53 | 11.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1455 | 1266 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | 6-3, 6-3 | Canada Quebec City |
Recent form
Ayana Akli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Hiromi Abe | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Vivian Yang | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Emma Dong | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kayla Cross | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Hina Inoue | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Annabelle Xu | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Polona Hercog | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
Ariana Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Raphaelle Lacasse | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Justina Mikulskyte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Angelina Voloshchuk | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ayana Akli | Ariana Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Annabelle Xu | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Dasha Ivanova | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-0, 5-7, 7-6 |
| Emma Dong | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Jo Yee Chan | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
| Tatum Evans | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 |
| Yuki Naito | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Quebec City (Canada), model gave Ayana Akli 81% at -189
Ayana Akli vs Ariana Arseneault: quick answers
Who won Ayana Akli vs Ariana Arseneault?
Ariana Arseneault beat Ayana Akli 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Ayana Akli at 81%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayana Akli and Ariana Arseneault?
Ariana Arseneault leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Ariana Arseneault 6-3, 6-3 at Canada Quebec City.
Who is in better form, Ayana Akli or Ariana Arseneault?
Ayana Akli is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ariana Arseneault is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ayana Akli and Ariana Arseneault?
Ayana Akli is rated 6698 (WTA #285) and Ariana Arseneault is rated 6611 (WTA #379). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ayana Akli vs Ariana Arseneault?
Ayana Akli is priced at -189 and Ariana Arseneault at +132, which implies a 65% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Ayana Akli 16 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.