Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu

WTA Lexington (X) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Arantxa Rus beat Malaika Rapolu 6-4, 3-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Arantxa Rus leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Rus is 5-5 in their last 10, Rapolu 6-4.

Result: Arantxa Rus beat Malaika Rapolu 6-4, 3-6, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Arantxa Rus a 54% favorite. At +115 the sportsbook implies 47% for Arantxa Rus, 7 points below the model's 54%.

Model
54%
Book
47%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
46%
Book
63%

Model minus book: -16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Arantxa Rus at +115 · Model track record

Player comparison

Arantxa RusMalaika Rapolu
Tennis Gauge rating67486679
Tour rankWTA #245WTA #305
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days1-28-3
Current streak1 Loss3 Wins
Season record25-3146-26
UTR11.6411.86
Elo (52 weeks)15261341
Best surfaceClayHard
Worst surfaceGrassClay

Head to head

Arantxa Rus leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Arantxa Rus6-4, 3-6, 7-5USA Lexington

Recent form

Arantxa Rus, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Kristina Liutova L6-2, 7-6
28.10.2026Mayu Crossley W6-4, 6-1
20.10.2026Yeon Woo Ku L6-2, 3-6, 6-2
16.10.2026Yeon Woo Ku L5-7, 7-6, 6-1
14.10.2026Alina Shcherbinina W2-6, 7-5, 6-2
11.10.2026Kaitlyn Carnicella L6-2, 3-6, 7-5
09.10.2026Whitney Osuigwe W3-0
08.10.2026Malaika Rapolu W6-4, 3-6, 7-5
06.10.2026Ena Koike W6-1, 6-3
21.09.2026Mia Ristic L4-6, 6-0, 6-3

Malaika Rapolu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Julia Garcia W6-2, 6-1
28.10.2026Maria Sholokhova W6-3, 6-4
27.10.2026Carolina Alonso W6-2, 6-0
21.10.2026Barbora Palicova L6-4, 6-7, 6-1
20.10.2026Olivia Lincer W6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Kristina Liutova L6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Valeriya Strakhova W6-1, 4-6, 6-2
16.10.2026Kristina Liutova L6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Arantxa Rus L6-4, 3-6, 7-5
06.10.2026Dalayna Hewitt W6-0, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentArantxa RusMalaika Rapolu
Akasha Urhobo 0-1
L 6-0, 5-7, 7-5
1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
Kristina Liutova 0-2
L 6-2, 7-6, L 6-4, 6-3
0-3
L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-1
Madison Brengle 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Mayu Crossley 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2

Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu: quick answers

Who won Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu?

Arantxa Rus beat Malaika Rapolu 6-4, 3-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Arantxa Rus and Malaika Rapolu?

Arantxa Rus leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Arantxa Rus 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 at USA Lexington.

Who is in better form, Arantxa Rus or Malaika Rapolu?

Arantxa Rus is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Malaika Rapolu is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Arantxa Rus and Malaika Rapolu?

Arantxa Rus is rated 6748 (WTA #245) and Malaika Rapolu is rated 6679 (WTA #305). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu?

Arantxa Rus is priced at +115 and Malaika Rapolu at -167, which implies a 47% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Arantxa Rus 7 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.