Aoyi Li vs Sarah Ye

WTA Shenzhen (China), Hard. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 09:30.

Updated

Sarah Ye beat Aoyi Li 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sarah Ye leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Li is 6-4 in their last 10, Ye 4-6.

Result: Sarah Ye beat Aoyi Li 6-4, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sarah Ye a 81% favorite. At -154 the sportsbook implies 61% for Sarah Ye, 21 points below the model's 81%.

Aoyi Li +105
Model
19%
Book
49%

Model minus book: -30 pts

Sarah Ye -154
Model
81%
Book
61%

Model minus book: +21 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sarah Ye at -154 · Model track record

Player comparison

Aoyi LiSarah Ye
Tennis Gauge rating59976286
Tour rankWTA #2141WTA #1045
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days5-21-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record6-510-13
UTR9.210.38

Head to head

Sarah Ye leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Sarah Ye6-4, 6-1China Shenzhen

Recent form

Aoyi Li, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Sarah Ye L6-4, 6-1
14.10.2026Aunchisa Chanta W6-4, 6-1
06.10.2026Francesca Franchi L6-3, 3-6, 10-6
04.10.2026Jiayue Pan W6-3, 6-3
04.10.2026Yu Shan W4-6, 7-5, 10-5
22.09.2026Qige Yi L7-5, 6-1
20.09.2026Phitchayapak Srimuk W6-1, 6-1
20.09.2026Sydney Nicole Clarke W6-2, 6-3
12.07.2026Ru Xi Wu L6-2, 0-6, 1-0
20.05.2026Xinyang Han W6-1, 6-2

Sarah Ye, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Aoyi Li W6-4, 6-1
14.10.2026Ke Ren W6-4, 4-6, 6-4
06.10.2026Meiqi Guo L6-1, 2-6, 6-1
23.09.2026Anna Kubareva L6-2, 6-2
27.07.2026Kelly Keller L3-6, 6-2, 10-8
28.06.2026Mailuodi Lei L6-2, 5-7, 7-6
26.06.2026Nehir Dogan W6-1, 6-2
11.06.2026Anchisa Chanta L6-3, 6-0
31.05.2026Giulia Safina Popa L1-6, 1-6
19.05.2026Jiayi Wang W6-4, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: WTA Shenzhen (China), model gave Aoyi Li 19% at +105

Aoyi Li vs Sarah Ye: quick answers

Who won Aoyi Li vs Sarah Ye?

Sarah Ye beat Aoyi Li 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Aoyi Li and Sarah Ye?

Sarah Ye leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Sarah Ye 6-4, 6-1 at China Shenzhen.

Who is in better form, Aoyi Li or Sarah Ye?

Aoyi Li is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Sarah Ye is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Aoyi Li and Sarah Ye?

Aoyi Li is rated 5997 (WTA #2141) and Sarah Ye is rated 6286 (WTA #1045). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Aoyi Li vs Sarah Ye?

Aoyi Li is priced at +105 and Sarah Ye at -154, which implies a 49% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Sarah Ye 21 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.