Antonia Ruzic vs Paula Badosa

WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 09:50.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Paula Badosa, giving them a 71% chance to win against Antonia Ruzic (29%). Antonia Ruzic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ruzic is 5-5 in their last 10, Badosa 6-4.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Paula Badosa a 71% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
29%
Book
30%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
71%
Book
76%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Paula Badosa at -313 · Model track record

Player comparison

Antonia RuzicPaula Badosa
Tennis Gauge rating69487020
Tour rankWTA #93WTA #50
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days5-31-2
Current streak2 Losses2 Wins
Season record30-3430-22
UTR12.0612.36
Elo (52 weeks)16831825
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceClayGrass

Head to head

Antonia Ruzic leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Antonia Ruzic3-6, 6-4, 6-3Japan Osaka

Recent form

Antonia Ruzic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Claire Liu L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
23.10.2026Katie Boulter L3-6, 6-3, 6-3
22.10.2026Kayla Day W6-4
20.10.2026Paula Badosa W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Bianca Andreescu L7-5, 3-6, 7-5
13.10.2026Anna Siskova W7-5, 6-3
06.10.2026Alicia Dudeney L3-6, 6-3, 6-4
03.10.2026Leolia Jeanjean L4-6, 6-1, 6-3
02.10.2026Teodora Kostovic W4-6, 6-4, 6-2
30.09.2026Julia Riera W6-3, 6-4

Paula Badosa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Sinja Kraus W6-1, 6-4
26.10.2026Carol Young Suh Lee W6-1, 6-4
20.10.2026Antonia Ruzic L3-6, 6-4, 6-3
03.10.2026Jelena Ostapenko L7-6, 7-5
01.10.2026Daria Kasatkina W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
19.09.2026Nadia Podoroska L6-3, 6-4
18.09.2026Mary Stoiana W6-4, 6-2
17.09.2026Jazmin Ortenzi W4-6, 6-2, 6-2
17.09.2026Justina Mikulskyte W6-3, 6-2
04.09.2026Coco Gauff L6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAntonia RuzicPaula Badosa
Bianca Andreescu 0-1
L 7-5, 3-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
Elena Gabriela Ruse 0-2
L 6-3, 4-6, 6-0, L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 2-6, 6-2, 7-5
Elena Rybakina 1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 1-0
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Elina Svitolina 0-1
L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4
Emiliana Arango 1-0
W 7-5, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Iva Jovic 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Jelena Ostapenko 0-1
L 6-2, 6-0
0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
Justina Mikulskyte 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Kayla Day 1-0
W 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Linda Noskova 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Yulia Putintseva 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
1-1
W 6-1, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-2

Antonia Ruzic vs Paula Badosa: quick answers

Who will win Antonia Ruzic vs Paula Badosa?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Paula Badosa, giving them a 71% chance to win against Antonia Ruzic (29%).

What is the head-to-head record between Antonia Ruzic and Paula Badosa?

Antonia Ruzic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Antonia Ruzic 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.

Who is in better form, Antonia Ruzic or Paula Badosa?

Antonia Ruzic is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Paula Badosa is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Antonia Ruzic and Paula Badosa?

Antonia Ruzic is rated 6948 (WTA #93) and Paula Badosa is rated 7020 (WTA #50). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Antonia Ruzic vs Paula Badosa?

Antonia Ruzic is priced at +228 and Paula Badosa at -313, which implies a 30% and 76% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.