Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace

WTA Las Vegas (USA), Hard. Friday, October 9, 2026, 10:00.

Updated

Francesca Pace beat Annika Penickova 6-7, 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesca Pace leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Penickova is 7-3 in their last 10, Pace 6-4.

Result: Francesca Pace beat Annika Penickova 6-7, 6-4, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Francesca Pace a 72% favorite. At +108 the sportsbook implies 48% for Francesca Pace, 24 points below the model's 72%.

Model
28%
Book
60%

Model minus book: -32 pts

Model
72%
Book
48%

Model minus book: +24 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Pace at +108 · Model track record

Player comparison

Annika PenickovaFrancesca Pace
Tennis Gauge rating65456609
Tour rankWTA #476WTA #384
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days3-16-2
Current streak1 Win1 Win
Season record26-1333-24
UTR11.311.39
Elo (52 weeks)–1270
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Francesca Pace leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Francesca Pace6-7, 6-4, 7-5USA Las Vegas

Recent form

Annika Penickova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Nao Nishino W6-3, 6-3
18.10.2026Connie Ma L7-5, 6-2
17.10.2026Duru Soke W6-3, 6-3
15.10.2026Jenna Defalco W6-3, 6-7, 6-3
13.10.2026Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W6-0, 6-3
10.10.2026Francesca Pace L6-7, 6-4, 7-5
09.10.2026Janae Preston W6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Victoria Rodriguez W6-2, 6-2
06.10.2026Jordyn Hazelitt W6-0, 6-2
30.09.2026Akasha Urhobo L6-2, 6-3

Francesca Pace, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Duru Soke L6-3, 7-6
15.10.2026Arianna Zucchini W6-4, 6-1
11.10.2026Emma Kamper Malmkjaer L7-5, 6-2
10.10.2026Annika Penickova W6-7, 6-4, 7-5
09.10.2026Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W6-7, 6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Kate Fakih W7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W7-6, 6-2
01.10.2026Amelie Van Impe L6-1, 6-1
29.09.2026Anna Rogers W7-5, 3-0
12.09.2026Ariana Geerlings L6-2, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAnnika PenickovaFrancesca Pace
Akasha Urhobo 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
Duru Soke 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
Victoria Hu 0-1
L 6-4, 6-0
1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 7-6

Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace: quick answers

Who won Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace?

Francesca Pace beat Annika Penickova 6-7, 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Annika Penickova and Francesca Pace?

Francesca Pace leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Francesca Pace 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 at USA Las Vegas.

Who is in better form, Annika Penickova or Francesca Pace?

Annika Penickova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Francesca Pace is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Win).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Annika Penickova and Francesca Pace?

Annika Penickova is rated 6545 (WTA #476) and Francesca Pace is rated 6609 (WTA #384). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace?

Annika Penickova is priced at -152 and Francesca Pace at +108, which implies a 60% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Pace 24 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 48%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.