Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace
Updated
Francesca Pace beat Annika Penickova 6-7, 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesca Pace leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Penickova is 7-3 in their last 10, Pace 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francesca Pace a 72% favorite. At +108 the sportsbook implies 48% for Francesca Pace, 24 points below the model's 72%.
Model minus book: -32 pts
Model minus book: +24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Pace at +108 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Annika Penickova | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6545 | 6609 |
| Tour rank | WTA #476 | WTA #384 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Win |
| Season record | 26-13 | 33-24 |
| UTR | 11.3 | 11.39 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1270 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Francesca Pace leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Francesca Pace | 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 | USA Las Vegas |
Recent form
Annika Penickova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Nao Nishino | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Connie Ma | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Duru Soke | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jenna Defalco | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Francesca Pace | L | 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Janae Preston | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Victoria Rodriguez | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Jordyn Hazelitt | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Akasha Urhobo | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Francesca Pace, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Duru Soke | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arianna Zucchini | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Emma Kamper Malmkjaer | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Annika Penickova | W | 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kate Fakih | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Amelie Van Impe | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anna Rogers | W | 7-5, 3-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Annika Penickova | Francesca Pace |
|---|---|---|
| Akasha Urhobo | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Duru Soke | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Victoria Hu | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace: quick answers
Who won Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace?
Francesca Pace beat Annika Penickova 6-7, 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Annika Penickova and Francesca Pace?
Francesca Pace leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Francesca Pace 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 at USA Las Vegas.
Who is in better form, Annika Penickova or Francesca Pace?
Annika Penickova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Francesca Pace is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Annika Penickova and Francesca Pace?
Annika Penickova is rated 6545 (WTA #476) and Francesca Pace is rated 6609 (WTA #384). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace?
Annika Penickova is priced at -152 and Francesca Pace at +108, which implies a 60% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Pace 24 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 48%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.