Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, giving them a 68% chance to win against Jenna Defalco (32%). Jenna Defalco leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Obregon is 3-7 in their last 10, Defalco 6-4. At -161, the odds imply 62% for Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, below the model's 68%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon a 68% favorite. At -161 the sportsbook implies 62% for Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, 6 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon at -161 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6424 | 6474 |
| Tour rank | WTA #680 | WTA #598 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-22 | 25-23 |
| UTR | 10.84 | 10.78 |
Head to head
Jenna Defalco leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Jenna Defalco | 6-2, 6-2 | USA Bakersfield |
Recent form
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Valeriia Krokhotina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Chloe Henderson | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jenna Defalco | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Sofia Johnson | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Ashley Lahey | W | 5-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Emma Kamper Malmkjaer | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Carolina Kuhl | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 06.09.2026 | Gabriela Paun | L | 4-6, 6-4, 13-11 |
Jenna Defalco, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ashley Lahey | L | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yuliya Hatouka | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 24.10.2026 | Lan Mi | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Jana Hossam Salah | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sahaja Yamalapalli | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Annika Penickova | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Krisha Mahendran | W | 6-1, 2-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Janae Preston | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | Jenna Defalco |
|---|---|---|
| Anita Sahdiieva | 1-0 W 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Annika Penickova | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Ashley Lahey | 1-1 W 5-7, 6-1, 7-6, L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Celia Cervino Ruiz | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Jana Hossam Salah | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-3, W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Jo Yee Chan | 1-1 L 7-5, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Sofia Johnson | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-0, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 68% at -161
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco: quick answers
Who will win Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, giving them a 68% chance to win against Jenna Defalco (32%).
What is the head-to-head record between Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon and Jenna Defalco?
Jenna Defalco leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Jenna Defalco 6-2, 6-2 at USA Bakersfield.
Who is in better form, Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon or Jenna Defalco?
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jenna Defalco is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon and Jenna Defalco?
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon is rated 6424 (WTA #680) and Jenna Defalco is rated 6474 (WTA #598). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco?
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon is priced at -161 and Jenna Defalco at +120, which implies a 62% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 6 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.