Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Qinwen Zheng, giving them a 66% chance to win against Ann Li (34%). Li is 7-3 in their last 10, Zheng 8-2. At +224, the odds imply 31% for Ann Li, below the model's 34%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Qinwen Zheng a 66% favorite. At +224 the sportsbook implies 31% for Ann Li, 3 points below the model's 34%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ann Li at +224 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ann Li | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7060 | 7080 |
| Tour rank | WTA #40 | WTA #29 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 7-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 7 Wins |
| Season record | 32-27 | 25-15 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 12.31 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1828 | 1968 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Ann Li and Qinwen Zheng haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Ann Li, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Zeynep Sonmez | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Emerson Jones | W | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Janice Tjen | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aryna Sabalenka | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Anchisa Chanta | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Camila Osorio | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
Qinwen Zheng, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Anna Kalinskaya | W | 6-7, 6-4, 3-0 |
| 01.10.2026 | Han Shi | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Elena Rybakina | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ann Li | Qinwen Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Alycia Parks | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
| Antonia Ruzic | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 1-1 W 3-6, 6-4, 7-6, L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Elena Rybakina | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-3 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Iga Swiatek | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-1, W 7-6, 2-6, 3-0 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Marie Bouzkova | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Talia Gibson | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Ann Li 34% at +224
Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng: quick answers
Who will win Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Qinwen Zheng, giving them a 66% chance to win against Ann Li (34%).
Have Ann Li and Qinwen Zheng played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Ann Li or Qinwen Zheng?
Ann Li is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Qinwen Zheng is 8-2 (current streak: 7 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ann Li and Qinwen Zheng?
Ann Li is rated 7060 (WTA #40) and Qinwen Zheng is rated 7080 (WTA #29). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng?
Ann Li is priced at +224 and Qinwen Zheng at -278, which implies a 31% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Ann Li 3 points higher than the odds do (34% vs 31%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.