Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek
Updated
Iga Swiatek beat Ann Li 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Li is 7-3 in their last 10, Swiatek 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Iga Swiatek a 79% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Iga Swiatek at -526 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ann Li | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7060 | 7177 |
| Tour rank | WTA #40 | WTA #1 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 32-27 | 45-17 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 12.89 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1828 | 2098 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | 6-4, 6-1 | China Wuhan |
| 25.04.2026 | Ann Li | 7-6, 2-6, 3-0 | Spain Madrid |
Recent form
Ann Li, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Zeynep Sonmez | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Emerson Jones | W | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Janice Tjen | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aryna Sabalenka | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Anchisa Chanta | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Camila Osorio | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
Iga Swiatek, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Magdalena Frech | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Donna Vekic | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xinyu Gao | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ann Li | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Belinda Bencic | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| Coco Gauff | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Daria Kasatkina | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
| Diane Parry | 0-2 L 7-6, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Donna Vekic | 1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Elena Rybakina | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
3-1 W 4-1, W 6-2, 6-3, L 7-5, 6-1, W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-2 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, L 6-4, 2-6, 6-2, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 0-2 L 7-6, 5-7, 6-4, L 1-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
| Emerson Jones | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Emma Navarro | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Janice Tjen | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
| Magda Linette | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-4, L 1-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Magdalena Frech | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Marie Bouzkova | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
2-0 W 7-6, 7-6, W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Marta Kostyuk | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-1 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Maya Joint | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Viktorija Golubic | 0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Ann Li 21% at +364
Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek: quick answers
Who won Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek?
Iga Swiatek beat Ann Li 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ann Li and Iga Swiatek?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Iga Swiatek 6-4, 6-1 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Ann Li or Iga Swiatek?
Ann Li is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Iga Swiatek is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ann Li and Iga Swiatek?
Ann Li is rated 7060 (WTA #40) and Iga Swiatek is rated 7177 (WTA #1). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek?
Ann Li is priced at +364 and Iga Swiatek at -526, which implies a 22% and 84% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.