Ann Li vs Emerson Jones
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ann Li, giving them a 84% chance to win against Emerson Jones (16%). Ann Li leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Li is 7-3 in their last 10, Jones 6-4. At -286, the odds imply 74% for Ann Li, below the model's 84%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ann Li a 84% favorite. At -286 the sportsbook implies 74% for Ann Li, 10 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ann Li at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ann Li | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7060 | 6826 |
| Tour rank | WTA #40 | WTA #178 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 6-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 32-27 | 41-25 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 11.77 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1860 | 1571 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Ann Li leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Ann Li | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 | Japan Osaka |
Recent form
Ann Li, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Zeynep Sonmez | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Emerson Jones | W | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Janice Tjen | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aryna Sabalenka | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Anchisa Chanta | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Camila Osorio | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
Emerson Jones, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Hong Yi Cody Wong | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ann Li | L | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Taylah Preston | W | 6-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Heather Watson | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zhuoxuan Bai | L | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Mai Hontama | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Alexandra Shubladze | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Kyoka Okamura | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Chenting Zhu | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ann Li | Emerson Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | 0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Donna Vekic | 1-0 W 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Emma Navarro | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Iga Swiatek | 1-1 L 6-4, 6-1, W 7-6, 2-6, 3-0 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Talia Gibson | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
2-1 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Taylah Preston | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-0, W 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
Ann Li vs Emerson Jones: quick answers
Who will win Ann Li vs Emerson Jones?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ann Li, giving them a 84% chance to win against Emerson Jones (16%).
What is the head-to-head record between Ann Li and Emerson Jones?
Ann Li leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Ann Li 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Ann Li or Emerson Jones?
Ann Li is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Emerson Jones is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ann Li and Emerson Jones?
Ann Li is rated 7060 (WTA #40) and Emerson Jones is rated 6826 (WTA #178). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ann Li vs Emerson Jones?
Ann Li is priced at -286 and Emerson Jones at +215, which implies a 74% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Ann Li 10 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.