Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Jasmine Paolini, giving them a 58% chance to win against Anhelina Kalinina (42%). Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Paolini is 4-6 in their last 10, Kalinina 3-7. At +186, the odds imply 35% for Anhelina Kalinina, below the model's 42%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jasmine Paolini a 58% favorite. At +186 the sportsbook implies 35% for Anhelina Kalinina, 7 points below the model's 42%.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Anhelina Kalinina at +186 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jasmine Paolini | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7071 | 6991 |
| Tour rank | WTA #33 | WTA #74 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 3-5 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 22-19 | 47-24 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 12.28 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1845 | 1753 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | 6-2, 7-5 | China Ningbo |
Recent form
Jasmine Paolini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Sorana Cirstea | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Anhelina Kalinina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 18.10.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L | 5-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Simona Waltert | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Janice Tjen | L | 2-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Karolina Muchova | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Tyra Caterina Grant | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jana Otzipka | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Himeno Sakatsume | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.08.2026 | Emma Navarro | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jasmine Paolini | Anhelina Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
0-2 L 5-3, L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Daria Snigur | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
1-1 W 7-6, 7-5, L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Naomi Osaka | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Solana Sierra | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Sonay Kartal | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
1-1 L 7-5, 6-3, W 7-6, 1-6, 6-1 |
| Veronika Erjavec | 1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina: quick answers
Who will win Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Jasmine Paolini, giving them a 58% chance to win against Anhelina Kalinina (42%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jasmine Paolini and Anhelina Kalinina?
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Jasmine Paolini 6-2, 7-5 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Jasmine Paolini or Anhelina Kalinina?
Jasmine Paolini is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Anhelina Kalinina is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jasmine Paolini and Anhelina Kalinina?
Jasmine Paolini is rated 7071 (WTA #33) and Anhelina Kalinina is rated 6991 (WTA #74). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina?
Jasmine Paolini is priced at -238 and Anhelina Kalinina at +186, which implies a 70% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Anhelina Kalinina 7 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.