Stefano Dagostino vs Andrey Chepelev
Updated
Andrey Chepelev beat Stefano Dagostino 7-6, 3-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Andrey Chepelev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Dagostino is 5-5 in their last 10, Chepelev 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrey Chepelev a 70% favorite. At -172 the sportsbook implies 63% for Andrey Chepelev, 7 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrey Chepelev at -172 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Stefano Dagostino | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6414 | 6483 |
| Tour rank | ATP #744 | ATP #552 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 44-27 | 71-44 |
| UTR | 13.66 | 13.85 |
Head to head
Andrey Chepelev leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Andrey Chepelev | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII |
Recent form
Stefano Dagostino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Andrey Chepelev | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Gabriele Maria Noce | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Gianmarco Ferrari | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lorenzo Rottoli | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Niccolo Ciavarella | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 13.09.2026 | Giuseppe La Vela | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 04.09.2026 | Alexandre Aubriot | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-0 |
| 03.09.2026 | Richard Lacis | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Marko Nikolic | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Andrey Chepelev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Manuel Mazza | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Romeo Spinolo | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lorenzo Berto | L | 6-4, 5-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Simone Massucco | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Stefano Dagostino | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Michiel De Krom | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Max Wiskandt | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Stefano Dagostino | Andrey Chepelev |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Weis | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
| Gianmarco Ferrari | 0-1 L 2-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Giorgio Tabacco | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| Iliyan Radulov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Lorenzo Rottoli | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Manuel Mazza | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-1 W 6-3, 6-1, L 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Niccolo Ciavarella | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
Stefano Dagostino vs Andrey Chepelev: quick answers
Who won Stefano Dagostino vs Andrey Chepelev?
Andrey Chepelev beat Stefano Dagostino 7-6, 3-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Stefano Dagostino and Andrey Chepelev?
Andrey Chepelev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Andrey Chepelev 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII.
Who is in better form, Stefano Dagostino or Andrey Chepelev?
Stefano Dagostino is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Andrey Chepelev is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Stefano Dagostino and Andrey Chepelev?
Stefano Dagostino is rated 6414 (ATP #744) and Andrey Chepelev is rated 6483 (ATP #552). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Stefano Dagostino vs Andrey Chepelev?
Stefano Dagostino is priced at +118 and Andrey Chepelev at -172, which implies a 46% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Andrey Chepelev 7 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.