Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrea Pellegrino, giving them a 70% chance to win against Pol Martin Tiffon (30%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Pellegrino is 2-8 in their last 10, Tiffon 5-5. At -182, the odds imply 65% for Andrea Pellegrino, below the model's 70%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrea Pellegrino a 70% favorite. At -182 the sportsbook implies 65% for Andrea Pellegrino, 6 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrea Pellegrino at -182 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Andrea Pellegrino | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6769 | 6676 |
| Tour rank | ATP #141 | ATP #250 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 2-5 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 1 Win |
| Season record | 32-28 | 34-26 |
| UTR | 14.89 | 14.5 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1584 | 1466 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1-3 | Portugal Lisbon |
| 17.03.2026 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-4, 6-4 | Spain Murcia |
Recent form
Andrea Pellegrino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | L | 1-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.08.2026 | Colton Smith | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.08.2026 | Zizou Bergs | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.08.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.07.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Pol Martin Tiffon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Andrea Pellegrino | W | 1-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Francisco Rocha | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tiago Pereira | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Laurent Lokoli | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | L | 5-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Benjamin Hassan | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 07.9.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Andrea Pellegrino | Pol Martin Tiffon |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Clarke | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Lloyd Harris | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | 0-1 L 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Max Alcala Gurri | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 5-2 |
| Raul Brancaccio | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Thiago Monteiro | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Timofey Skatov | 0-1 L 3-6, 4-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Zizou Bergs | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon: quick answers
Who will win Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrea Pellegrino, giving them a 70% chance to win against Pol Martin Tiffon (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Andrea Pellegrino and Pol Martin Tiffon?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Pol Martin Tiffon 1-3 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Andrea Pellegrino or Pol Martin Tiffon?
Andrea Pellegrino is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Pol Martin Tiffon is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Andrea Pellegrino and Pol Martin Tiffon?
Andrea Pellegrino is rated 6769 (ATP #141) and Pol Martin Tiffon is rated 6676 (ATP #250). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon?
Andrea Pellegrino is priced at -182 and Pol Martin Tiffon at +125, which implies a 65% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Andrea Pellegrino 6 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.