Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
Updated
Lorenzo Giustino beat Andrea Pellegrino 6-4, 2-6, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andrea Pellegrino at 72%. Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pellegrino is 2-8 in their last 10, Giustino 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrea Pellegrino a 72% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrea Pellegrino at -227 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Andrea Pellegrino | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6769 | 6655 |
| Tour rank | ATP #141 | ATP #275 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 32-28 | 37-35 |
| UTR | 14.89 | 14.17 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1611 | 1459 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 | Portugal Maia |
Recent form
Andrea Pellegrino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | L | 1-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.08.2026 | Colton Smith | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.08.2026 | Zizou Bergs | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.08.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.07.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Lorenzo Giustino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | L | 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | L | 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Michael Vrbensky | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Andrea Pellegrino | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Christian Langmo | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 6-7, 6-3, 3-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | John Sperle | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Gerard Campana Lee | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Andrea Pellegrino | Lorenzo Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 2-0 |
| Luca Nardi | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Matej Dodig | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | 1-1 L 1-3, W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Svyatoslav Gulin | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 72% at -227
Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino: quick answers
Who won Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Lorenzo Giustino beat Andrea Pellegrino 6-4, 2-6, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andrea Pellegrino at 72%.
What is the head-to-head record between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino?
Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Lorenzo Giustino 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Andrea Pellegrino or Lorenzo Giustino?
Andrea Pellegrino is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Lorenzo Giustino is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino?
Andrea Pellegrino is rated 6769 (ATP #141) and Lorenzo Giustino is rated 6655 (ATP #275). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Andrea Pellegrino is priced at -227 and Lorenzo Giustino at +163, which implies a 69% and 38% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.