Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrea Pellegrino, giving them a 50% chance to win against Francesco Passaro (50%). Pellegrino is 2-8 in their last 10, Passaro 10-0. At +174, the odds imply 36% for Andrea Pellegrino, below the model's 50%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrea Pellegrino a 50% favorite. At +174 the sportsbook implies 36% for Andrea Pellegrino, 14 points below the model's 50%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrea Pellegrino at +174 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Andrea Pellegrino | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6769 | 6745 |
| Tour rank | ATP #141 | ATP #162 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 10-0 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 11-0 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 11 Wins |
| Season record | 32-28 | 33-22 |
| UTR | 14.89 | 14.44 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1584 | 1661 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Andrea Pellegrino and Francesco Passaro haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Andrea Pellegrino, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | L | 1-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.08.2026 | Colton Smith | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.08.2026 | Zizou Bergs | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.08.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.07.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Francesco Passaro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Gastao Elias | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | W | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tiago Torres | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Andrea Pellegrino | Francesco Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Marco Cecchinato | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Matej Dodig | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Tristan Boyer | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Vilius Gaubas | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
- 2026-10-26: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
- 2026-10-25: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
- 2026-10-24: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
- 2026-10-23: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
- 2026-10-22: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
- 2026-10-21: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Andrea Pellegrino 50% at +174
Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro: quick answers
Who will win Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrea Pellegrino, giving them a 50% chance to win against Francesco Passaro (50%).
Have Andrea Pellegrino and Francesco Passaro played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Andrea Pellegrino or Francesco Passaro?
Andrea Pellegrino is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Francesco Passaro is 10-0 (current streak: 11 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Andrea Pellegrino and Francesco Passaro?
Andrea Pellegrino is rated 6769 (ATP #141) and Francesco Passaro is rated 6745 (ATP #162). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro?
Andrea Pellegrino is priced at +174 and Francesco Passaro at -244, which implies a 36% and 71% chance to win. The model rates Andrea Pellegrino 14 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.