Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri
Updated
Andrea Guerrieri beat Martin Damm 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Martin Damm at 79%. Andrea Guerrieri leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Damm is 5-5 in their last 10, Guerrieri 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Martin Damm a 79% favorite. At -303 the sportsbook implies 75% for Martin Damm, 4 points below the model's 79%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Martin Damm at -303 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Martin Damm | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6840 | 6722 |
| Tour rank | ATP #88 | ATP #188 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-29 | 61-26 |
| UTR | 15.58 | 14.64 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1704 | 1607 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Andrea Guerrieri leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 | Belgium Brussels |
Recent form
Martin Damm, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ugo Blanchet | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Yannick Hanfmann | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 2-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Andrea Guerrieri, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | August Holmgren | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anton Matusevich | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jesper De Jong | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-2, 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Martin Damm | Andrea Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Abedallah Shelbayh | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, W 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Billy Harris | 0-1 L 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Luca Nardi | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Brussels (X) (Belgium), model gave Martin Damm 79% at -303
Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri: quick answers
Who won Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Andrea Guerrieri beat Martin Damm 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Martin Damm at 79%.
What is the head-to-head record between Martin Damm and Andrea Guerrieri?
Andrea Guerrieri leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Andrea Guerrieri 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 at Belgium Brussels.
Who is in better form, Martin Damm or Andrea Guerrieri?
Martin Damm is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Andrea Guerrieri is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Martin Damm and Andrea Guerrieri?
Martin Damm is rated 6840 (ATP #88) and Andrea Guerrieri is rated 6722 (ATP #188). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Martin Damm is priced at -303 and Andrea Guerrieri at +225, which implies a 75% and 31% chance to win. The model rates Martin Damm 4 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 75%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.