Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
Updated
Maks Kasnikowski beat Andrea Guerrieri 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andrea Guerrieri at 52%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Guerrieri is 5-5 in their last 10, Kasnikowski 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andrea Guerrieri a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrea Guerrieri at -172 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Andrea Guerrieri | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6722 | 6702 |
| Tour rank | ATP #188 | ATP #215 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 61-26 | 50-30 |
| UTR | 14.64 | 14.46 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1607 | 1490 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | 6-3, 6-4 | Italy Olbia |
| 02.04.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 | Italy Barletta |
Recent form
Andrea Guerrieri, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Alex Michelsen | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | August Holmgren | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anton Matusevich | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jesper De Jong | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-2, 6-2, 6-4 |
Maks Kasnikowski, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Aidan Mayo | L | 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | James Trotter | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andrea Guerrieri | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Cezar Cretu | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Philip Henning | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Andrea Guerrieri | Maks Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
| Daniil Glinka | 1-0 W 0-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 2-6, 6-1 |
| Justin Engel | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Louis Wessels | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Stefano Travaglia | 1-0 W 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-2, 7-5, W 6-2, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Andrea Guerrieri 52% at -172
Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski: quick answers
Who won Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Maks Kasnikowski beat Andrea Guerrieri 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andrea Guerrieri at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Maks Kasnikowski 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Olbia.
Who is in better form, Andrea Guerrieri or Maks Kasnikowski?
Andrea Guerrieri is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maks Kasnikowski is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski?
Andrea Guerrieri is rated 6722 (ATP #188) and Maks Kasnikowski is rated 6702 (ATP #215). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Andrea Guerrieri is priced at -172 and Maks Kasnikowski at +122, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.