Andrea Fiorentini vs William Nolan

ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 11:30.

Updated

Andrea Fiorentini beat William Nolan 7-5, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Andrea Fiorentini leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Fiorentini is 3-7 in their last 10, Nolan 4-6.

Result: Andrea Fiorentini beat William Nolan 7-5, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Andrea Fiorentini a 67% favorite. At -133 the sportsbook implies 57% for Andrea Fiorentini, 10 points below the model's 67%.

Model
67%
Book
57%

Model minus book: +10 pts

Model
33%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrea Fiorentini at -133 · Model track record

Player comparison

Andrea FiorentiniWilliam Nolan
Tennis Gauge rating63406182
Tour rankATP #1000ATP #1700
Last 10 matches3-74-6
Last 30 days1-33-2
Current streak1 Loss4 Losses
Season record22-2425-24
UTR13.2612.96

Head to head

Andrea Fiorentini leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Andrea Fiorentini7-5, 6-0Greece Heraklion
15.10.2026Andrea Fiorentini7-5, 6-0Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Andrea Fiorentini, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Benjamin Pietri L6-3, 6-1
16.10.2026William Nolan W7-5, 6-0
16.10.2026Peter Makk L6-4, 6-2
16.10.2026Peter Makk L6-4, 6-2
15.10.2026William Nolan W7-5, 6-0
30.09.2026Dmitry Popko L6-1, 6-3
28.09.2026Artur Kukasian W7-5, 4-6, 6-4
23.09.2026Filiberto Fumagalli L3-6, 6-0, 6-2
17.09.2026Dusan Milanovic L6-4, 6-4
26.08.2026Miha Vetrih L6-2, 2-6, 6-4

William Nolan, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Roan Jones L6-3, 6-3
16.10.2026Andrea Fiorentini L7-5, 6-0
15.10.2026Andrea Fiorentini L7-5, 6-0
27.09.2026Victor Ryden L3-6, 5-4
26.09.2026Piotr Grynkowski W6-7, 6-4, 1-0
21.09.2026Youssef Kadiri Hassani L6-2, 2-6, 1-0
20.09.2026Henri Haupt W6-3, 6-0
19.09.2026Parv Patel W6-3, 6-1
16.09.2026Ewen Lumsden L6-2, 7-6
14.09.2026Mohamed Ali Abibsi W7-5, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAndrea FiorentiniWilliam Nolan
Dimitris Sakellaridis 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Marcus Walters 1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), model gave Andrea Fiorentini 67% at -133
  • 2026-10-14: ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), model gave Andrea Fiorentini 67% at -133
  • 2026-10-13: ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), model gave Andrea Fiorentini 67% at -133

Andrea Fiorentini vs William Nolan: quick answers

Who won Andrea Fiorentini vs William Nolan?

Andrea Fiorentini beat William Nolan 7-5, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Andrea Fiorentini and William Nolan?

Andrea Fiorentini leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Andrea Fiorentini 7-5, 6-0 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Andrea Fiorentini or William Nolan?

Andrea Fiorentini is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). William Nolan is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Andrea Fiorentini and William Nolan?

Andrea Fiorentini is rated 6340 (ATP #1000) and William Nolan is rated 6182 (ATP #1700). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Andrea Fiorentini vs William Nolan?

Andrea Fiorentini is priced at -133 and William Nolan at -111, which implies a 57% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Andrea Fiorentini 10 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.