Andrea De Marchi vs Simone Macchione

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrea De Marchi, giving them a 91% chance to win against Simone Macchione (9%). Andrea De Marchi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Marchi is 6-4 in their last 10, Macchione 1-9.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Andrea De Marchi a 91% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
91%
Book
98%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model
9%
Book
9%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andrea De Marchi at -5000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Andrea De MarchiSimone Macchione
Tennis Gauge rating64295842
Tour rankATP #691ATP #3918
Last 10 matches6-41-9
Last 30 days2-20-2
Current streak1 Loss8 Losses
Season record41-214-16
UTR13.8311.89

Head to head

Andrea De Marchi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Andrea De Marchi6-1, 6-2Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X

Recent form

Andrea De Marchi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Luis Carlos Alvarez L6-2, 6-2
21.10.2026Branko Djuric W6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Simone Macchione W6-1, 6-2
04.10.2026Federico Arnaboldi L4-6, 6-1, 6-3
24.09.2026Laurent Lokoli L2-1
23.09.2026Gabriele Crivellaro W6-7, 6-1, 6-1
21.09.2026Sebastiano Cocola W4-6, 6-4, 6-0
18.09.2026Andrey Chepelev L2-6, 7-5, 6-1
17.09.2026Garrett Johns W7-5, 6-4
16.09.2026Marcello Serafini W6-4, 6-1

Simone Macchione, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Andrea De Marchi L6-1, 6-2
04.10.2026Oliwier Sterniczuk L6-0, 6-3
02.08.2026Leonardo Angeloni L6-2, 7-6
11.07.2026Dani Lopez Adelino L6-0, 6-3
06.07.2026Philipp Bosse L7-5, 7-6
29.06.2026Egor Gorin L6-4, 1-6, 1-0
09.06.2026Maxence Rivet L6-4, 7-6
08.06.2026Tobia Grandinetti L6-3, 3-6, 1-0
07.06.2026Mattia Strazza W7-5, 6-1
31.05.2026Fabio Varsalona L6-0, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAndrea De MarchiSimone Macchione
Leonardo Angeloni 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 6-2, 7-6

Andrea De Marchi vs Simone Macchione: quick answers

Who will win Andrea De Marchi vs Simone Macchione?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Andrea De Marchi, giving them a 91% chance to win against Simone Macchione (9%).

What is the head-to-head record between Andrea De Marchi and Simone Macchione?

Andrea De Marchi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Andrea De Marchi 6-1, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.

Who is in better form, Andrea De Marchi or Simone Macchione?

Andrea De Marchi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Simone Macchione is 1-9 (current streak: 8 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Andrea De Marchi and Simone Macchione?

Andrea De Marchi is rated 6429 (ATP #691) and Simone Macchione is rated 5842 (ATP #3918). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Andrea De Marchi vs Simone Macchione?

Andrea De Marchi is priced at -5000 and Simone Macchione at +985, which implies a 98% and 9% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.