Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki
Updated
Yosuke Watanuki beat Andre Ilagan 6-2, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andre Ilagan at 63%. Yosuke Watanuki leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Ilagan is 4-6 in their last 10, Watanuki 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Andre Ilagan a 63% favorite. At +105 the sportsbook implies 49% for Andre Ilagan, 15 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Andre Ilagan at +105 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6640 | 6707 |
| Tour rank | ATP #292 | ATP #208 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 47-32 | 18-17 |
| UTR | 14.43 | 14.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1535 | 1526 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Yosuke Watanuki leads 3-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | 6-2, 6-2 | China Jinan |
| 21.07.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | 7-6, 7-5 | Canada Winnipeg |
| 30.06.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 | USA Cary |
Recent form
Andre Ilagan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Khumoyun Sultanov | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mert Alkaya | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 02.10.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
Yosuke Watanuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaito Uesugi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Chun Hsin Tseng | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Jie Cui | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Marat Sharipov | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Andre Ilagan 63% at +105
Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki: quick answers
Who won Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Yosuke Watanuki beat Andre Ilagan 6-2, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Andre Ilagan at 63%.
What is the head-to-head record between Andre Ilagan and Yosuke Watanuki?
Yosuke Watanuki leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Yosuke Watanuki 6-2, 6-2 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Andre Ilagan or Yosuke Watanuki?
Andre Ilagan is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Yosuke Watanuki is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Andre Ilagan and Yosuke Watanuki?
Andre Ilagan is rated 6640 (ATP #292) and Yosuke Watanuki is rated 6707 (ATP #208). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Andre Ilagan is priced at +105 and Yosuke Watanuki at -143, which implies a 49% and 59% chance to win. The model rates Andre Ilagan 15 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 49%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.