Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva

WTA Austin (XI) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 12:45.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, giving them a 68% chance to win against Anastasia Tikhonova (32%). Anastasia Tikhonova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tikhonova is 7-3 in their last 10, Zhiyenbayeva 7-3. At -130, the odds imply 57% for Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, below the model's 68%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sonja Zhiyenbayeva a 68% favorite. At -130 the sportsbook implies 57% for Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, 11 points below the model's 68%.

Model
32%
Book
48%

Model minus book: -16 pts

Model
68%
Book
57%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sonja Zhiyenbayeva at -130 · Model track record

Player comparison

Anastasia TikhonovaSonja Zhiyenbayeva
Tennis Gauge rating66676573
Tour rankWTA #319WTA #437
Last 10 matches7-37-3
Last 30 days3-31-2
Current streak3 Wins2 Losses
Season record33-3236-17
UTR11.1711.51
Elo (52 weeks)13621474
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Anastasia Tikhonova leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Anastasia Tikhonova7-6, 6-3USA Austin

Recent form

Anastasia Tikhonova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Ana Carmen Zamburek W7-5, 7-6
28.10.2026Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W6-2, 6-0
28.10.2026Midori Castillo Meza W6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Ella Mcdonald L6-2, 3-6, 6-2
22.10.2026Yeon Woo Ku W1-6, 7-5, 6-3
21.10.2026Xinyu Gao W6-1, 6-4
19.10.2026Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W7-6, 6-3
04.10.2026Mariia Tkacheva L6-2, 6-2
29.09.2026Simona Waltert L3-6, 7-6, 6-3
27.09.2026Viktoria Hruncakova W6-1, 6-2

Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Connie Ma L6-4, 4-0
19.10.2026Anastasia Tikhonova L7-6, 6-3
27.09.2026Adithya Karunaratne W6-1, 7-5
23.09.2026Jessica Bouzas Maneiro L6-2, 6-2
16.08.2026Yufei Ren W7-6, 7-5
15.08.2026Matilde Jorge W6-7, 6-4, 6-2
14.08.2026Daria Khomutsianskaya W6-1, 6-4
13.08.2026Ekaterina Yashina W2-6, 6-2, 6-3
12.08.2026Julie Struplova W6-3, 6-4
09.08.2026Isabella Shinikova W7-6, 3-6, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAnastasia TikhonovaSonja Zhiyenbayeva
Isabella Shinikova 1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 3-6, 6-1

Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva: quick answers

Who will win Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, giving them a 68% chance to win against Anastasia Tikhonova (32%).

What is the head-to-head record between Anastasia Tikhonova and Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?

Anastasia Tikhonova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Anastasia Tikhonova 7-6, 6-3 at USA Austin.

Who is in better form, Anastasia Tikhonova or Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?

Anastasia Tikhonova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Sonja Zhiyenbayeva is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Anastasia Tikhonova and Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?

Anastasia Tikhonova is rated 6667 (WTA #319) and Sonja Zhiyenbayeva is rated 6573 (WTA #437). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva?

Anastasia Tikhonova is priced at +107 and Sonja Zhiyenbayeva at -130, which implies a 48% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 11 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.