Amelie Smejkalova vs Kallista Liu
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Amelie Smejkalova, giving them a 55% chance to win against Kallista Liu (45%). Amelie Smejkalova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Smejkalova is 7-3 in their last 10, Liu 6-4. At -104, the odds imply 51% for Amelie Smejkalova, below the model's 55%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Amelie Smejkalova a 55% favorite. At -104 the sportsbook implies 51% for Amelie Smejkalova, 4 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Amelie Smejkalova at -104 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Amelie Smejkalova | Kallista Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6126 | 6307 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1580 | WTA #969 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-0 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 20-7 | 24-21 |
| UTR | 10.33 | 10.61 |
Head to head
Amelie Smejkalova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Amelie Smejkalova | 6-2, 6-4 | USA Sumter |
Recent form
Amelie Smejkalova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kallista Liu | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jensen Diianni | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Lena Thomas Iglesias | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Celine Simunyu | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jana Stojanova | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Addison Bowman | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Lillie Murphy | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Elizabeth Isyanov | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 11.09.2026 | Catherine Rennard | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 15.07.2026 | Sofia Camila Rojas | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
Kallista Liu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Amelie Smejkalova | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Juliana Nicole Singeorzan | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Linea Bajraliu | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Havah Kaur Kaler | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Michika Ozeki | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Ava Catanzarite | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Anaelle Theano Alissa | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 04.08.2026 | Lizette Cabrera | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 03.08.2026 | Mariam Bolkvadze | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Amelie Smejkalova | Kallista Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Bella Payne | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Sumter (X) (USA), model gave Amelie Smejkalova 55% at -104
Amelie Smejkalova vs Kallista Liu: quick answers
Who will win Amelie Smejkalova vs Kallista Liu?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Amelie Smejkalova, giving them a 55% chance to win against Kallista Liu (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Amelie Smejkalova and Kallista Liu?
Amelie Smejkalova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Amelie Smejkalova 6-2, 6-4 at USA Sumter.
Who is in better form, Amelie Smejkalova or Kallista Liu?
Amelie Smejkalova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Kallista Liu is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Amelie Smejkalova and Kallista Liu?
Amelie Smejkalova is rated 6126 (WTA #1580) and Kallista Liu is rated 6307 (WTA #969). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Amelie Smejkalova vs Kallista Liu?
Amelie Smejkalova is priced at -104 and Kallista Liu at -133, which implies a 51% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Amelie Smejkalova 4 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 51%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.