Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet
Updated
Jessika Ponchet beat Amelia Rajecki 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Rajecki is 4-6 in their last 10, Ponchet 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jessika Ponchet a 77% favorite. At -196 the sportsbook implies 66% for Jessika Ponchet, 11 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jessika Ponchet at -196 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Amelia Rajecki | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6558 | 6795 |
| Tour rank | WTA #460 | WTA #199 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 36-25 | 23-21 |
| UTR | 11.35 | 11.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1348 | 1572 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | 7-6, 6-3 | United Kingdom Birmingham |
Recent form
Amelia Rajecki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ella Seidel | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rosie Cho | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Suzan Lamens | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jessika Ponchet | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Anna Ozerova | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Yuhan Wang | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 26.09.2026 | Hiroko Kuwata | W | 6-1, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kurea Hayasaka | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Sayaka Ishii | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
Jessika Ponchet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Mayuka Aikawa | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Amelia Rajecki | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hollie Smart | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.06.2026 | Polina Kudermetova | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.05.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Amelia Rajecki | Jessika Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Katarina Kuzmova | 1-1 L 1-6, 7-5, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Manon Leonard | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-3 L 7-6, 6-1, L 5-7, 7-6, 6-2, L 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Viktoria Hruncakova | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), model gave Amelia Rajecki 23% at +133
Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet: quick answers
Who won Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet?
Jessika Ponchet beat Amelia Rajecki 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Amelia Rajecki and Jessika Ponchet?
Jessika Ponchet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Jessika Ponchet 7-6, 6-3 at United Kingdom Birmingham.
Who is in better form, Amelia Rajecki or Jessika Ponchet?
Amelia Rajecki is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jessika Ponchet is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Amelia Rajecki and Jessika Ponchet?
Amelia Rajecki is rated 6558 (WTA #460) and Jessika Ponchet is rated 6795 (WTA #199). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet?
Amelia Rajecki is priced at +133 and Jessika Ponchet at -196, which implies a 43% and 66% chance to win. The model rates Jessika Ponchet 11 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.