Ella Haavisto vs Amelia Paszun

WTA Monastir (IX) II (Tunisia), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Amelia Paszun beat Ella Haavisto 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Amelia Paszun leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Haavisto is 7-3 in their last 10, Paszun 5-5.

Result: Amelia Paszun beat Ella Haavisto 6-3, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Amelia Paszun a 58% favorite. At +246 the sportsbook implies 29% for Ella Haavisto, 13 points below the model's 42%.

Model
42%
Book
29%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model
58%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ella Haavisto at +246 · Model track record

Player comparison

Ella HaavistoAmelia Paszun
Tennis Gauge rating62906440
Tour rankWTA #1031WTA #649
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days4-14-2
Current streak2 Wins2 Losses
Season record19-2022-19
UTR10.1110.65

Head to head

Amelia Paszun leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Amelia Paszun6-3, 6-4Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Ella Haavisto, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Laetitia Pulchartova W6-3, 3-6, 6-1
28.10.2026Katarina Kujovic W6-2, 6-3
22.10.2026Lola Giza L6-3, 6-1
21.10.2026Emma Slavikova W6-1, 6-4
19.10.2026Tereza Hermanova W6-1, 6-4
08.10.2026Amelia Paszun L6-3, 6-4
07.10.2026Coco Bosman W6-3, 6-4
06.10.2026Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta W6-3, 1-6, 10-8
04.10.2026Diana Maria Mihail W6-0, 6-0
01.10.2026Sophia Biolay L6-2, 6-2

Amelia Paszun, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Elena Milovanovic L7-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Sophia Biolay L3-6, 6-1, 6-1
13.10.2026Marie Villet W4-2
09.10.2026Tiphanie Lemaitre L7-5, 6-2
08.10.2026Ella Haavisto W6-3, 6-4
06.10.2026Alina Granwehr W6-4, 2-2
21.09.2026Gaia Maduzzi L6-3, 2-6, 7-6
20.09.2026Viktoria Veleva W6-4, 6-3
15.09.2026Gaia Maduzzi L6-1, 4-6, 7-5
14.09.2026Dunja Maric W6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentElla HaavistoAmelia Paszun
Sophia Biolay 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 3-6, 6-1, 6-1

Ella Haavisto vs Amelia Paszun: quick answers

Who won Ella Haavisto vs Amelia Paszun?

Amelia Paszun beat Ella Haavisto 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Ella Haavisto and Amelia Paszun?

Amelia Paszun leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Amelia Paszun 6-3, 6-4 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Ella Haavisto or Amelia Paszun?

Ella Haavisto is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Amelia Paszun is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Ella Haavisto and Amelia Paszun?

Ella Haavisto is rated 6290 (WTA #1031) and Amelia Paszun is rated 6440 (WTA #649). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Ella Haavisto vs Amelia Paszun?

Ella Haavisto is priced at +246 and Amelia Paszun at -345, which implies a 29% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Ella Haavisto 13 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 29%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.