Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lea Ma

WTA Bakersfield (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lea Ma, giving them a 89% chance to win against Allegra Korpanec Davies (11%). Lea Ma leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Davies is 4-6 in their last 10, Ma 7-3.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lea Ma a 89% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
11%
Book
12%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Lea Ma -5000
Model
89%
Book
98%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lea Ma at -5000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Allegra Korpanec DaviesLea Ma
Tennis Gauge rating64006644
Tour rankWTA #733WTA #340
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days0-15-3
Current streak4 Losses2 Wins
Season record32-2934-26
UTR10.5711.5
Elo (52 weeks)–1431
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Lea Ma leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Lea Ma6-2, 6-3USA Bakersfield

Recent form

Allegra Korpanec Davies, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Lea Ma L6-2, 6-3
07.10.2026Kate Fakih L6-1, 6-7, 6-3
24.09.2026Kristina Paskauskas L3-6, 6-2, 7-6
23.09.2026Ashton Bowers L6-4, 6-3
22.09.2026Lexington Reed W5-7, 6-0, 6-3
21.09.2026Sankavi Gownder W6-3, 7-5
11.08.2026Ayla Aksu L2-6, 7-6, 6-2
07.08.2026Emily Appleton L6-0, 6-4
06.08.2026Stephanie Judith Visscher W6-4, 6-3
04.08.2026Yuno Kitahara W7-5, 6-1

Lea Ma, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Teah Chavez W6-0, 6-4
27.10.2026Rasheeda Mcadoo W6-0, 6-3
23.10.2026Astra Sharma L6-1, 6-7, 6-1
22.10.2026Allegra Korpanec Davies W6-2, 6-3
18.10.2026Connie Ma L1-6, 6-3, 7-6
17.10.2026Salma Drugdova W7-6, 6-1
15.10.2026Sydney Jara W7-6, 6-1
09.10.2026Madison Brengle L7-6, 6-2
08.10.2026Hina Inoue W3-6, 6-2, 6-0
06.10.2026Linea Bajraliu W6-4, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAllegra Korpanec DaviesLea Ma
Gina Feistel 0-1
L 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 6-0, 1-6, 6-4
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 1-0
W 1-6, 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-26: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-25: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-24: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-23: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-22: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-21: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +752
  • 2026-10-20: WTA Bakersfield (USA), model gave Allegra Korpanec Davies 11% at +673

Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lea Ma: quick answers

Who will win Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lea Ma?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Lea Ma, giving them a 89% chance to win against Allegra Korpanec Davies (11%).

What is the head-to-head record between Allegra Korpanec Davies and Lea Ma?

Lea Ma leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Lea Ma 6-2, 6-3 at USA Bakersfield.

Who is in better form, Allegra Korpanec Davies or Lea Ma?

Allegra Korpanec Davies is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Lea Ma is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Allegra Korpanec Davies and Lea Ma?

Allegra Korpanec Davies is rated 6400 (WTA #733) and Lea Ma is rated 6644 (WTA #340). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lea Ma?

Allegra Korpanec Davies is priced at +752 and Lea Ma at -5000, which implies a 12% and 98% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.