Alisa Oktiabreva vs Nuria Brancaccio

WTA Heraklion (X) (Greece), Clay. Friday, October 9, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Alisa Oktiabreva beat Nuria Brancaccio 6-2, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nuria Brancaccio at 55%. Alisa Oktiabreva leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Oktiabreva is 10-0 in their last 10, Brancaccio 5-5.

Result: Alisa Oktiabreva beat Nuria Brancaccio 6-2, 7-5. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Nuria Brancaccio.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nuria Brancaccio a 55% favorite. At +180 the sportsbook implies 36% for Nuria Brancaccio, 20 points below the model's 55%.

Model
45%
Book
74%

Model minus book: -30 pts

Model
55%
Book
36%

Model minus book: +20 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nuria Brancaccio at +180 · Model track record

Player comparison

Alisa OktiabrevaNuria Brancaccio
Tennis Gauge rating67406800
Tour rankWTA #250WTA #194
Last 10 matches10-05-5
Last 30 days13-05-2
Current streak21 Wins1 Loss
Season record45-726-29
UTR11.811.7
Elo (52 weeks)15681524
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Alisa Oktiabreva leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Alisa Oktiabreva6-2, 7-5Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Alisa Oktiabreva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Tilwith Di Girolami W6-7, 6-4, 6-2
17.10.2026Alice Tubello W6-2, 6-1
16.10.2026Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W6-2, 6-2
16.10.2026Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W6-2, 6-2
16.10.2026Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez W6-2, 6-1
15.10.2026Ofir Manhard W6-2, 6-1
11.10.2026Ipek Oz W7-5, 6-1
10.10.2026Nuria Brancaccio W6-2, 7-5
09.10.2026Francesca Curmi W7-6, 6-4
08.10.2026Lola Giza W6-2, 6-2

Nuria Brancaccio, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Andrea Lazaro Garcia L6-7, 7-5, 6-4
13.10.2026Laura Pigossi W6-0, 6-4
10.10.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L6-2, 7-5
09.10.2026Jennifer Ruggeri W6-3, 3-6, 6-2
08.10.2026Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W6-3, 7-5
07.10.2026Noemi La Cagnina W7-6, 6-0
25.09.2026Julia Grabher L2-6, 6-1, 6-4
24.09.2026Veronika Erjavec L5-7, 5-3
22.09.2026Maria Lourdes Carle W6-3, 4-6, 6-4
14.09.2026Despina Papamichail L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAlisa OktiabrevaNuria Brancaccio
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni 2-0
W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Daria Khomutsianskaya 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 3-6, 6-4
Francesca Curmi 2-0
W 7-6, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 7-5

Alisa Oktiabreva vs Nuria Brancaccio: quick answers

Who won Alisa Oktiabreva vs Nuria Brancaccio?

Alisa Oktiabreva beat Nuria Brancaccio 6-2, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nuria Brancaccio at 55%.

What is the head-to-head record between Alisa Oktiabreva and Nuria Brancaccio?

Alisa Oktiabreva leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Alisa Oktiabreva 6-2, 7-5 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Alisa Oktiabreva or Nuria Brancaccio?

Alisa Oktiabreva is 10-0 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 21 Wins). Nuria Brancaccio is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Alisa Oktiabreva and Nuria Brancaccio?

Alisa Oktiabreva is rated 6740 (WTA #250) and Nuria Brancaccio is rated 6800 (WTA #194). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Alisa Oktiabreva vs Nuria Brancaccio?

Alisa Oktiabreva is priced at -286 and Nuria Brancaccio at +180, which implies a 74% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Nuria Brancaccio 20 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.