Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva
Updated
Alisa Oktiabreva beat Francesca Curmi 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Francesca Curmi at 59%. Alisa Oktiabreva leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Curmi is 8-2 in their last 10, Oktiabreva 10-0.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francesca Curmi a 59% favorite. At +205 the sportsbook implies 33% for Francesca Curmi, 26 points below the model's 59%.
Model minus book: +26 pts
Model minus book: -35 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Curmi at +205 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Francesca Curmi | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6761 | 6740 |
| Tour rank | WTA #230 | WTA #250 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 10-0 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 12-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 21 Wins |
| Season record | 49-24 | 45-7 |
| UTR | 11.68 | 11.8 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1563 | 1568 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Alisa Oktiabreva leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | 7-6, 6-4 | Greece Heraklion |
| 21.04.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | 7-6, 6-3 | Portugal Oeiras |
Recent form
Francesca Curmi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Astrid Cirotte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marina Bassols Ribera | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Eva Vedder | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Miriam Bianca Bulgaru | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Maayan Laron | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Alisa Oktiabreva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Tilwith Di Girolami | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alice Tubello | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ofir Manhard | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ipek Oz | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Nuria Brancaccio | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lola Giza | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Francesca Curmi | Alisa Oktiabreva |
|---|---|---|
| Alena Kovackova | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Clara Vlasselaer | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 1-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Elizara Yaneva | 2-1 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, W 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Ipek Oz | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Oceane Dodin | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva: quick answers
Who won Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Alisa Oktiabreva beat Francesca Curmi 7-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Francesca Curmi at 59%.
What is the head-to-head record between Francesca Curmi and Alisa Oktiabreva?
Alisa Oktiabreva leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Alisa Oktiabreva 7-6, 6-4 at Greece Heraklion.
Who is in better form, Francesca Curmi or Alisa Oktiabreva?
Francesca Curmi is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alisa Oktiabreva is 10-0 (current streak: 21 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesca Curmi and Alisa Oktiabreva?
Francesca Curmi is rated 6761 (WTA #230) and Alisa Oktiabreva is rated 6740 (WTA #250). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva?
Francesca Curmi is priced at +205 and Alisa Oktiabreva at -323, which implies a 33% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Curmi 26 points higher than the odds do (59% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.