Alisa Baranovska vs Kristina Kovgan
Updated
Kristina Kovgan beat Alisa Baranovska 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alisa Baranovska at 77%. Kristina Kovgan leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Baranovska is 5-5 in their last 10, Kovgan 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alisa Baranovska a 77% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alisa Baranovska at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alisa Baranovska | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6161 | 6176 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1437 | WTA #1390 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 11-8 | 24-20 |
| UTR | 10.41 | 9.65 |
Head to head
Kristina Kovgan leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | 7-5, 7-6 | World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Alisa Baranovska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Klara Vaja | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Laura Svatikova | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Laura Svatikova | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Emilija Miljkovic | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Valeria Avdeeva | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Melissa Boyden | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Beata Havlickova | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Lujza Zimenova | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
Kristina Kovgan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Emilija Miljkovic | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Laura Svatikova | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Alisa Baranovska | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Sara Nikolic | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Katerina Oustampasidou | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Milica Stosovic | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mariya Yemshanova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Denise Hrdinkova | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alisa Baranovska | Kristina Kovgan |
|---|---|---|
| Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-0, W 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| Emilija Miljkovic | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Laura Svatikova | 0-2 L 6-2, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-1, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (World), model gave Alisa Baranovska 77% at -286
Alisa Baranovska vs Kristina Kovgan: quick answers
Who won Alisa Baranovska vs Kristina Kovgan?
Kristina Kovgan beat Alisa Baranovska 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alisa Baranovska at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alisa Baranovska and Kristina Kovgan?
Kristina Kovgan leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Kristina Kovgan 7-5, 7-6 at World EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Alisa Baranovska or Kristina Kovgan?
Alisa Baranovska is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Kristina Kovgan is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alisa Baranovska and Kristina Kovgan?
Alisa Baranovska is rated 6161 (WTA #1437) and Kristina Kovgan is rated 6176 (WTA #1390). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alisa Baranovska vs Kristina Kovgan?
Alisa Baranovska is priced at -286 and Kristina Kovgan at +190, which implies a 74% and 34% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.