Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
Updated
Martyna Kubka beat Alina Charaeva 6-1, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alina Charaeva at 68%. Martyna Kubka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kubka is 7-3 in their last 10, Charaeva 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alina Charaeva a 68% favorite. At +327 the sportsbook implies 23% for Martyna Kubka, 8 points below the model's 32%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Martyna Kubka at +327 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Martyna Kubka | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6779 | 6964 |
| Tour rank | WTA #215 | WTA #84 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 54-23 | 38-28 |
| UTR | 11.75 | 12.09 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1600 | 1758 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Martyna Kubka leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Martyna Kubka | 6-1, 6-2 | Italy Rovereto |
Recent form
Martyna Kubka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Mia Ristic | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Dominika Salkova | L | 1-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | W | 7-5, 4-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | W | 7-5, 4-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Teodora Kostovic | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Lois Boisson | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Ksenia Efremova | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Berfu Cengiz | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
Alina Charaeva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Enola Chiesa | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Anna Siskova | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Martyna Kubka | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Elena Rybakina | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | 5-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Anna Bondar | L | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Sofia Kenin | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Martyna Kubka | Alina Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 3-0 W 7-5, 4-2, W 7-5, 4-2, W 7-5, 6-1 |
1-1 W 1-6, 6-2, 6-3, L 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Manon Leonard | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
| Susan Bandecchi | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-7, 7-6, L 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-4, W 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Teodora Kostovic | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Yeon Woo Ku | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Rovereto (Italy), model gave Martyna Kubka 32% at +327
Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva: quick answers
Who won Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva?
Martyna Kubka beat Alina Charaeva 6-1, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alina Charaeva at 68%.
What is the head-to-head record between Martyna Kubka and Alina Charaeva?
Martyna Kubka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Martyna Kubka 6-1, 6-2 at Italy Rovereto.
Who is in better form, Martyna Kubka or Alina Charaeva?
Martyna Kubka is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alina Charaeva is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Martyna Kubka and Alina Charaeva?
Martyna Kubka is rated 6779 (WTA #215) and Alina Charaeva is rated 6964 (WTA #84). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva?
Martyna Kubka is priced at +327 and Alina Charaeva at -526, which implies a 23% and 84% chance to win. The model rates Martyna Kubka 8 points higher than the odds do (32% vs 23%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.