Alina Charaeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera

WTA Courmayeur (X) (Italy), Indoors. Monday, November 2, 2026, 06:10.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Alina Charaeva, giving them a 65% chance to win against Marina Bassols Ribera (35%). Charaeva is 6-4 in their last 10, Ribera 7-3.

Prediction

The model makes Alina Charaeva a 65% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
65%
Book
74%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
35%
Book
34%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alina Charaeva at -286 · Model track record

Player comparison

Alina CharaevaMarina Bassols Ribera
Tennis Gauge rating69646866
Tour rankWTA #84WTA #142
Last 10 matches6-47-3
Last 30 days3-35-2
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record38-2844-28
UTR12.0911.86
Elo (52 weeks)17351593
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Alina Charaeva and Marina Bassols Ribera haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Alina Charaeva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Gabriela Andrea Knutson W1-6, 6-2, 6-3
27.10.2026Enola Chiesa W6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Anna Siskova L4-6, 6-3, 6-2
13.10.2026Martyna Kubka L6-1, 6-2
07.10.2026Qinwen Zheng L6-1, 2-6, 6-4
05.10.2026Sonay Kartal W6-4, 6-1
03.10.2026Elena Rybakina W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
01.10.2026Yuliia Starodubtseva W5-7, 7-5, 6-2
24.09.2026Anna Bondar L6-4, 6-7, 7-6
22.09.2026Sofia Kenin W3-6, 7-6, 6-4

Marina Bassols Ribera, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Erika Andreeva W6-4, 7-6
27.10.2026Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva W6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Jodie Burrage L6-1, 6-4
22.10.2026Lizette Cabrera W6-1, 0-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Caroline Uebelhoer W6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Francesca Curmi L3-6, 6-3, 6-3
13.10.2026Ida Wobker W6-1, 6-3
01.10.2026Kamilla Rakhimova L6-4, 7-6
29.09.2026Xiaodi You W6-4, 6-4
28.09.2026Olivia Nicholls W6-1, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAlina CharaevaMarina Bassols Ribera
Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2-0
W 6-4, 6-0, W 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 7-5
Anhelina Kalinina 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Caroline Uebelhoer 1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-0
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Darja Vidmanova 1-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4
Lola Radivojevic 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 7-6
Manon Leonard 1-0
W 6-0, 6-0
0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
Martyna Kubka 0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Polina Kudermetova 0-3
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1, L 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 10-0
Sinja Kraus 1-0
W 5-7, 7-5, 7-5
0-2
L 6-4, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-4, 6-1
Tamara Korpatsch 1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 7-5
0-1
L 3-6, 6-0, 6-4
Teodora Kostovic 1-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 6-7, 6-3
Veronika Podrez 0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-0, 6-2
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
1-1
W 6-3, 6-3, L 6-0, 2-6, 6-3
Xiaodi You 2-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: WTA Courmayeur (X) (Italy), model gave Alina Charaeva 65% at -286
  • 2026-10-31: WTA Courmayeur (X) (Italy), model gave Alina Charaeva 65% at -286
  • 2026-10-30: WTA Courmayeur (X) (Italy), model gave Alina Charaeva 65% at -286

Alina Charaeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera: quick answers

Who will win Alina Charaeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Alina Charaeva, giving them a 65% chance to win against Marina Bassols Ribera (35%).

Have Alina Charaeva and Marina Bassols Ribera played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Alina Charaeva or Marina Bassols Ribera?

Alina Charaeva is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Marina Bassols Ribera is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Alina Charaeva and Marina Bassols Ribera?

Alina Charaeva is rated 6964 (WTA #84) and Marina Bassols Ribera is rated 6866 (WTA #142). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Alina Charaeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera?

Alina Charaeva is priced at -286 and Marina Bassols Ribera at +195, which implies a 74% and 34% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.