Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alibek Kachmazov, giving them a 62% chance to win against Yuta Shimizu (38%). Shimizu is 5-5 in their last 10, Kachmazov 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alibek Kachmazov a 62% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alibek Kachmazov at -250 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yuta Shimizu | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6620 | 6532 |
| Tour rank | ATP #321 | ATP #466 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 14-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 24-25 | 30-11 |
| UTR | 14.2 | 14.11 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1418 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Yuta Shimizu and Alibek Kachmazov haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Yuta Shimizu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | L | 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Mili Poljicak | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Max Purcell | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Bernard Tomic | L | 5-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Stefanos Sakellaridis | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Philip Sekulic | L | 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 |
| 12.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | W | 5-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
Alibek Kachmazov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Woobin Shin | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Dong Ju Kim | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Evan Zhu | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yuta Shimizu | Alibek Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Zhu | 0-1 L 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 6-3, W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Marek Gengel | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Yuta Shimizu 38% at +169
Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov: quick answers
Who will win Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alibek Kachmazov, giving them a 62% chance to win against Yuta Shimizu (38%).
Have Yuta Shimizu and Alibek Kachmazov played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Yuta Shimizu or Alibek Kachmazov?
Yuta Shimizu is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alibek Kachmazov is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yuta Shimizu and Alibek Kachmazov?
Yuta Shimizu is rated 6620 (ATP #321) and Alibek Kachmazov is rated 6532 (ATP #466). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Yuta Shimizu is priced at +169 and Alibek Kachmazov at -250, which implies a 37% and 71% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.