Seong Chan Hong vs Alibek Kachmazov
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alibek Kachmazov, giving them a 78% chance to win against Seong Chan Hong (22%). Seong Chan Hong leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Hong is 6-4 in their last 10, Kachmazov 8-2. At -159, the odds imply 61% for Alibek Kachmazov, below the model's 78%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alibek Kachmazov a 78% favorite. At -159 the sportsbook implies 61% for Alibek Kachmazov, 17 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alibek Kachmazov at -159 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Seong Chan Hong | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6618 | 6532 |
| Tour rank | ATP #325 | ATP #466 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 10-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 6-5 | 30-11 |
| UTR | 13.77 | 14.11 |
Head to head
Seong Chan Hong leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 | South Korea Soul |
Recent form
Seong Chan Hong, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 12.09.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | L | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Hikaru Shiraishi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Kosuke Ogura | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.09.2026 | Yuichiro Inui | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.08.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 26.08.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.08.2026 | Henrique Rocha | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Alibek Kachmazov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Woobin Shin | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Dong Ju Kim | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Evan Zhu | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Korea Soul (V) (South Korea), model gave Seong Chan Hong 22% at +110
Seong Chan Hong vs Alibek Kachmazov: quick answers
Who will win Seong Chan Hong vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alibek Kachmazov, giving them a 78% chance to win against Seong Chan Hong (22%).
What is the head-to-head record between Seong Chan Hong and Alibek Kachmazov?
Seong Chan Hong leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Seong Chan Hong 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 at South Korea Soul.
Who is in better form, Seong Chan Hong or Alibek Kachmazov?
Seong Chan Hong is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Alibek Kachmazov is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Seong Chan Hong and Alibek Kachmazov?
Seong Chan Hong is rated 6618 (ATP #325) and Alibek Kachmazov is rated 6532 (ATP #466). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Seong Chan Hong vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Seong Chan Hong is priced at +110 and Alibek Kachmazov at -159, which implies a 48% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Alibek Kachmazov 17 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.