Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Updated
Jay Dylan Hara Friend beat Alibek Kachmazov 6-7, 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Kachmazov is 8-2 in their last 10, Friend 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Jay Dylan Hara Friend a 64% favorite. At -149 the sportsbook implies 60% for Jay Dylan Hara Friend, 4 points below the model's 64%.
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jay Dylan Hara Friend at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alibek Kachmazov | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6532 | 6637 |
| Tour rank | ATP #466 | ATP #298 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 17-0 | 4-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 30-11 | 39-22 |
| UTR | 14.11 | 14.29 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1568 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 | China Jinan |
| 11.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 | China Wuning |
Recent form
Alibek Kachmazov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Woobin Shin | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Dong Ju Kim | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Evan Zhu | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Jay Dylan Hara Friend, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | August Holmgren | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | James Mccabe | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ognjen Milic | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Ryan Seggerman | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alibek Kachmazov | Jay Dylan Hara Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Yanki Erel | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Alibek Kachmazov 36% at +110
- 2026-10-10: ATP Wuning (X) (China), model gave Jay Dylan Hara Friend 64% at -154
Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend: quick answers
Who won Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
Jay Dylan Hara Friend beat Alibek Kachmazov 6-7, 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alibek Kachmazov and Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Jay Dylan Hara Friend 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Alibek Kachmazov or Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
Alibek Kachmazov is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Jay Dylan Hara Friend is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alibek Kachmazov and Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
Alibek Kachmazov is rated 6532 (ATP #466) and Jay Dylan Hara Friend is rated 6637 (ATP #298). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
Alibek Kachmazov is priced at +110 and Jay Dylan Hara Friend at -149, which implies a 48% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Jay Dylan Hara Friend 4 points higher than the odds do (64% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.