Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov
Updated
Alibek Kachmazov beat Fajing Sun 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Fajing Sun at 63%. Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sun is 4-6 in their last 10, Kachmazov 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Fajing Sun a 63% favorite. At -116 the sportsbook implies 54% for Fajing Sun, 10 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Fajing Sun at -116 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Fajing Sun | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6589 | 6532 |
| Tour rank | ATP #371 | ATP #466 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 14-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 32-32 | 30-11 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 14.11 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1430 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | 6-3, 6-4 | China Wuning |
Recent form
Fajing Sun, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Keegan Smith | L | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jie Cui | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Aoran Wang | W | 6-3, 1-0 |
| 29.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
Alibek Kachmazov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Woobin Shin | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Dong Ju Kim | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Evan Zhu | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Fajing Sun | Alibek Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 0-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Chase Ferguson | 0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 6-3, W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Qian Sun | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Rio Noguchi | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Semen Pankin | 2-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov: quick answers
Who won Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Alibek Kachmazov beat Fajing Sun 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Fajing Sun at 63%.
What is the head-to-head record between Fajing Sun and Alibek Kachmazov?
Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Alibek Kachmazov 6-3, 6-4 at China Wuning.
Who is in better form, Fajing Sun or Alibek Kachmazov?
Fajing Sun is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alibek Kachmazov is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Fajing Sun and Alibek Kachmazov?
Fajing Sun is rated 6589 (ATP #371) and Alibek Kachmazov is rated 6532 (ATP #466). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Fajing Sun is priced at -116 and Alibek Kachmazov at -116, which implies a 54% and 54% chance to win. The model rates Fajing Sun 10 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.