Evan Zhu vs Alibek Kachmazov

ATP Wuning (X) (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 09:30.

Updated

Alibek Kachmazov beat Evan Zhu 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zhu is 5-5 in their last 10, Kachmazov 8-2.

Result: Alibek Kachmazov beat Evan Zhu 7-6, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Alibek Kachmazov a 60% favorite. At -116 the sportsbook implies 54% for Alibek Kachmazov, 6 points below the model's 60%.

Evan Zhu -118
Model
40%
Book
54%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model
60%
Book
54%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alibek Kachmazov at -116 · Model track record

Player comparison

Evan ZhuAlibek Kachmazov
Tennis Gauge rating65126532
Tour rankATP #505ATP #466
Last 10 matches5-58-2
Last 30 days8-313-0
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record48-3430-11
UTR14.3414.11

Head to head

Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Alibek Kachmazov7-6, 7-6China Wuning

Recent form

Evan Zhu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Yeonsu Jeong L6-4, 6-4
19.10.2026Max Purcell L6-4, 6-4
18.10.2026Yaojie Zeng W6-1, 1-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Egor Pleshivtsev L3-6, 6-4, 6-0
08.10.2026Alibek Kachmazov L7-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Koki Matsuda W6-3, 6-3
01.10.2026Alex Bolt L6-7, 6-4, 6-2
30.09.2026Hanyi Liu W6-3, 6-4
29.09.2026Aleksandar Vukic W6-3, 4-2
28.09.2026Zhiheng Xia W6-1, 6-0

Alibek Kachmazov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Seong Chan Hong L6-7, 6-3, 6-1
27.10.2026Rio Noguchi W6-3, 6-1
26.10.2026Woobin Shin W6-0, 4-6, 6-3
25.10.2026Dong Ju Kim W4-6, 6-3, 6-1
13.10.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend L6-7, 7-5, 6-3
11.10.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend W4-6, 7-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Omar Jasika W7-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Fajing Sun W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Evan Zhu W7-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Charles Broom W4-6, 7-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEvan ZhuAlibek Kachmazov
Colin Sinclair 1-0
W 7-5, 6-7, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-7, 6-2
Sora Fukuda 2-0
W 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 7-6

Evan Zhu vs Alibek Kachmazov: quick answers

Who won Evan Zhu vs Alibek Kachmazov?

Alibek Kachmazov beat Evan Zhu 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Evan Zhu and Alibek Kachmazov?

Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Alibek Kachmazov 7-6, 7-6 at China Wuning.

Who is in better form, Evan Zhu or Alibek Kachmazov?

Evan Zhu is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Alibek Kachmazov is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Evan Zhu and Alibek Kachmazov?

Evan Zhu is rated 6512 (ATP #505) and Alibek Kachmazov is rated 6532 (ATP #466). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Evan Zhu vs Alibek Kachmazov?

Evan Zhu is priced at -118 and Alibek Kachmazov at -116, which implies a 54% and 54% chance to win. The model rates Alibek Kachmazov 6 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.