Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Updated
Leylah Fernandez beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Leylah Fernandez leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fernandez is 8-2 in their last 10, Sasnovich 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Leylah Fernandez a 80% favorite. At -149 the sportsbook implies 60% for Leylah Fernandez, 20 points below the model's 80%.
Model minus book: +20 pts
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Leylah Fernandez at -149 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Leylah Fernandez | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7109 | 7014 |
| Tour rank | WTA #22 | WTA #56 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 8-2 | 9-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 30-26 | 37-26 |
| UTR | 12.52 | 12.06 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1853 | 1717 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Leylah Fernandez leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 | China Ningbo |
Recent form
Leylah Fernandez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Himeno Sakatsume | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Elena Rybakina | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | L | 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Han Shi | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Daria Kasatkina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 5-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Anna Bondar | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elvina Kalieva | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Leylah Fernandez | Aliaksandra Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 1-1 L 6-2, 7-6, W 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Anna Blinkova | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
3-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Diana Shnaider | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-0, L 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-1, W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Julia Grabher | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 1-0 W 5-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Magdalena Frech | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 2-1 W 6-2, 7-5, W 6-1, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Renata Zarazua | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Talia Gibson | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-0 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-0 |
Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich: quick answers
Who won Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Leylah Fernandez beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Leylah Fernandez and Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Leylah Fernandez leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Leylah Fernandez 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Leylah Fernandez or Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Leylah Fernandez is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Leylah Fernandez and Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Leylah Fernandez is rated 7109 (WTA #22) and Aliaksandra Sasnovich is rated 7014 (WTA #56). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Leylah Fernandez is priced at -149 and Aliaksandra Sasnovich at +159, which implies a 60% and 39% chance to win. The model rates Leylah Fernandez 20 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.