Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Kasatkina
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daria Kasatkina, giving them a 59% chance to win against Aliaksandra Sasnovich (41%). Aliaksandra Sasnovich leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Sasnovich is 7-3 in their last 10, Kasatkina 4-6. At +111, the odds imply 47% for Daria Kasatkina, below the model's 59%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daria Kasatkina a 59% favorite. At +111 the sportsbook implies 47% for Daria Kasatkina, 11 points below the model's 59%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daria Kasatkina at +111 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7014 | 7006 |
| Tour rank | WTA #56 | WTA #61 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 8-3 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-26 | 24-23 |
| UTR | 12.06 | 12.15 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1717 | 1772 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 6-4, 6-2 | China Ningbo |
| 21.09.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 7-5, 6-0 | Singapore Singapore |
Recent form
Aliaksandra Sasnovich, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Daria Kasatkina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 5-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Anna Bondar | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elvina Kalieva | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
Daria Kasatkina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Talia Gibson | L | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 25.10.2026 | Kimberly Birrell | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ye Xin Ma | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Sara Sorribes Tormo | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Viktorija Golubic | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Paula Badosa | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Paula Badosa | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-0, L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
| Anna Blinkova | 3-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Daria Snigur | 1-0 W 6-2, 0-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Emiliana Arango | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 0-6, 6-3 |
| Paula Badosa | 1-1 L 7-5, 6-3, W 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
0-2 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Talia Gibson | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-0, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Daria Kasatkina 62% at -133
- 2026-10-18: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Daria Kasatkina 62% at -133
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Kasatkina: quick answers
Who will win Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Kasatkina?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daria Kasatkina, giving them a 59% chance to win against Aliaksandra Sasnovich (41%).
What is the head-to-head record between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Daria Kasatkina?
Aliaksandra Sasnovich leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4, 6-2 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Aliaksandra Sasnovich or Daria Kasatkina?
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Daria Kasatkina is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Daria Kasatkina?
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is rated 7014 (WTA #56) and Daria Kasatkina is rated 7006 (WTA #61). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Kasatkina?
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is priced at -139 and Daria Kasatkina at +111, which implies a 58% and 47% chance to win. The model rates Daria Kasatkina 11 points higher than the odds do (59% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.