Alexey Shtengelov vs Keisuke Ota
Updated
Alexey Shtengelov beat Keisuke Ota 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Keisuke Ota at 58%. Alexey Shtengelov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shtengelov is 4-6 in their last 10, Ota 3-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Keisuke Ota a 58% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Keisuke Ota at -156 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexey Shtengelov | Keisuke Ota | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5615 | 5779 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4972 | ATP #4293 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 23-28 | 3-5 |
| UTR | 11.13 | 11.62 |
Head to head
Alexey Shtengelov leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Alexey Shtengelov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kazuki Saito | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kosuke Shibano | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Thomas Linley | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev | L | 1-6, 4-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Hong Lin Fu | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Jacob Kailiang Shen | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
Keisuke Ota, last 8
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Thomas Linley | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kosuke Shibano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 06.09.2026 | Kentaro Otsuka | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.03.2026 | Ryota Tanuma | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.03.2026 | Sena Sasaki | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexey Shtengelov | Keisuke Ota |
|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Shibano | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Taiyo Hirano | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
| Thomas Linley | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Alexey Shtengelov 42% at +108
Alexey Shtengelov vs Keisuke Ota: quick answers
Who won Alexey Shtengelov vs Keisuke Ota?
Alexey Shtengelov beat Keisuke Ota 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Keisuke Ota at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexey Shtengelov and Keisuke Ota?
Alexey Shtengelov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Alexey Shtengelov 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Alexey Shtengelov or Keisuke Ota?
Alexey Shtengelov is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Keisuke Ota is 3-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexey Shtengelov and Keisuke Ota?
Alexey Shtengelov is rated 5615 (ATP #4972) and Keisuke Ota is rated 5779 (ATP #4293). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexey Shtengelov vs Keisuke Ota?
Alexey Shtengelov is priced at +108 and Keisuke Ota at -156, which implies a 48% and 61% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.