Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda
Updated
Yaroslav Demin beat Alexandr Binda 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Demin is 7-3 in their last 10, Binda 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yaroslav Demin a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yaroslav Demin at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yaroslav Demin | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6525 | 6436 |
| Tour rank | ATP #479 | ATP #679 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 43-21 | 43-32 |
| UTR | 13.6 | 13.71 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1322 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | 6-3, 7-6 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Yaroslav Demin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Carl Emil Overbeck | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alexandr Binda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Alexandr Binda, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Jake Delaney | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Millen Hurrion | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jia Hu | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Adam Walton | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 28.09.2026 | Sidharth Rawat | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Kuan Shou Chen | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jesse Flores | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Nikolai Barsukov | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.09.2026 | Yunseong Chung | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yaroslav Demin | Alexandr Binda |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Sidharth Rawat | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
2-2 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-3, L 6-4, 4-0 |
| Thijs Boogaard | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Yaroslav Demin 52% at -133
Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda: quick answers
Who won Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda?
Yaroslav Demin beat Alexandr Binda 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Yaroslav Demin and Alexandr Binda?
Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Yaroslav Demin 6-3, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Yaroslav Demin or Alexandr Binda?
Yaroslav Demin is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Alexandr Binda is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yaroslav Demin and Alexandr Binda?
Yaroslav Demin is rated 6525 (ATP #479) and Alexandr Binda is rated 6436 (ATP #679). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandr Binda?
Yaroslav Demin is priced at -133 and Alexandr Binda at -111, which implies a 57% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.