Alexander Weis vs Matthew William Donald
Updated
Matthew William Donald beat Alexander Weis 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matthew William Donald leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Weis is 8-2 in their last 10, Donald 9-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matthew William Donald a 71% favorite. At -185 the sportsbook implies 65% for Matthew William Donald, 6 points below the model's 71%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matthew William Donald at -185 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexander Weis | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6501 | 6583 |
| Tour rank | ATP #521 | ATP #380 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 8-2 | 9-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-15 | 65-31 |
| UTR | 13.88 | 14.16 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1459 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Matthew William Donald leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
| 16.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
Recent form
Alexander Weis, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lorenzo Berto | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giuseppe La Vela | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Jadon Price | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Daniel Michalski | W | 1-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Andrey Chepelev | W | 7-5, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Gabriele Crivellaro | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | W | 6-4, 0-6, 6-3 |
Matthew William Donald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Filippo Romano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Henry Searle | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Javier Barranco Cosano | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriele Pennaforti | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giovanni Oradini | W | 5-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alexander Weis | Matthew William Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Fausto Tabacco | 1-0 W 6-4, 0-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Giovanni Oradini | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-2 W 5-0, L 6-7, 7-5, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Lorenzo Bocchi | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Sebastian Sorger | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Alexander Weis 29% at +139
Alexander Weis vs Matthew William Donald: quick answers
Who won Alexander Weis vs Matthew William Donald?
Matthew William Donald beat Alexander Weis 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Weis and Matthew William Donald?
Matthew William Donald leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Matthew William Donald 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.
Who is in better form, Alexander Weis or Matthew William Donald?
Alexander Weis is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Matthew William Donald is 9-1 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Weis and Matthew William Donald?
Alexander Weis is rated 6501 (ATP #521) and Matthew William Donald is rated 6583 (ATP #380). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexander Weis vs Matthew William Donald?
Alexander Weis is priced at +139 and Matthew William Donald at -185, which implies a 42% and 65% chance to win. The model rates Matthew William Donald 6 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.