Alexander Weis vs Lorenzo Berto

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), Clay. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Alexander Weis beat Lorenzo Berto 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Alexander Weis leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Weis is 8-2 in their last 10, Berto 5-5.

Result: Alexander Weis beat Lorenzo Berto 6-4, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Alexander Weis a 85% favorite. At -357 the sportsbook implies 78% for Alexander Weis, 7 points below the model's 85%.

Model
85%
Book
78%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
15%
Book
32%

Model minus book: -18 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Weis at -357 · Model track record

Player comparison

Alexander WeisLorenzo Berto
Tennis Gauge rating65016362
Tour rankATP #521ATP #907
Last 10 matches8-25-5
Last 30 days8-24-2
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record37-1525-26
UTR13.8812.8

Head to head

Alexander Weis leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Alexander Weis6-4, 7-5Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX

Recent form

Alexander Weis, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Matthew William Donald L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Matthew William Donald L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Lorenzo Berto W6-4, 7-5
14.10.2026Giuseppe La Vela W6-4, 5-7, 6-4
13.10.2026Jadon Price W6-0, 6-2
11.10.2026Daniel Michalski W1-6, 7-5, 6-1
10.10.2026Andrey Chepelev W7-5, 2-6, 6-1
09.10.2026Gabriele Crivellaro W6-2, 6-2
08.10.2026Rares Teodor Pieleanu W6-4, 7-6
07.10.2026Fausto Tabacco W6-4, 0-6, 6-3

Lorenzo Berto, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Alexander Weis L6-4, 7-5
14.10.2026Andrey Chepelev W6-4, 5-4
13.10.2026Daniele Rapagnetta W6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Manuel Mazza L6-3, 6-1
22.09.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato L6-1, 7-5
21.09.2026Dimitris Sakellaridis W1-6, 7-5, 6-4
20.09.2026Lorenzo Bocchi W1-6, 6-0, 6-3
14.09.2026Andrey Chepelev L7-5, 6-3
05.09.2026Gabriele Bosio L2-6, 6-3, 6-4
04.09.2026Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini W6-4, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentAlexander WeisLorenzo Berto
Andrey Chepelev 1-0
W 7-5, 2-6, 6-1
1-1
W 6-4, 5-4, L 7-5, 6-3
Damien Salvestre 1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-0
Daniel Michalski 1-0
W 1-6, 7-5, 6-1
0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
Lorenzo Bocchi 1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
2-1
W 1-6, 6-0, 6-3, W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-2, 7-5
Nicola Rispoli 1-0
W 2-6, 7-6, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 7-5
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Alexander Weis 85% at -357

Alexander Weis vs Lorenzo Berto: quick answers

Who won Alexander Weis vs Lorenzo Berto?

Alexander Weis beat Lorenzo Berto 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Alexander Weis and Lorenzo Berto?

Alexander Weis leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Alexander Weis 6-4, 7-5 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.

Who is in better form, Alexander Weis or Lorenzo Berto?

Alexander Weis is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Lorenzo Berto is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexander Weis and Lorenzo Berto?

Alexander Weis is rated 6501 (ATP #521) and Lorenzo Berto is rated 6362 (ATP #907). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Alexander Weis vs Lorenzo Berto?

Alexander Weis is priced at -357 and Lorenzo Berto at +210, which implies a 78% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Alexander Weis 7 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.