Daniel Michalski vs Alexander Weis

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII (Italy), Clay. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Alexander Weis beat Daniel Michalski 1-6, 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Michalski at 57%. Alexander Weis leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Michalski is 9-1 in their last 10, Weis 8-2.

Result: Alexander Weis beat Daniel Michalski 1-6, 7-5, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Daniel Michalski.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Daniel Michalski a 57% favorite. At +276 the sportsbook implies 27% for Alexander Weis, 16 points below the model's 43%.

Model
57%
Book
83%

Model minus book: -26 pts

Model
43%
Book
27%

Model minus book: +16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Weis at +276 · Model track record

Player comparison

Daniel MichalskiAlexander Weis
Tennis Gauge rating66186501
Tour rankATP #323ATP #521
Last 10 matches9-18-2
Last 30 days9-16-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record42-2837-15
UTR14.2913.88
Elo (52 weeks)1404–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Alexander Weis leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Alexander Weis1-6, 7-5, 6-1Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII

Recent form

Daniel Michalski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
11.10.2026Alexander Weis L1-6, 7-5, 6-1
10.10.2026Ivan Ivanov W6-1, 4-6, 6-1
09.10.2026Giovanni Oradini W6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Alessandro Bellifemine W6-2, 6-0
07.10.2026Lorenzo Bocchi W6-0, 6-1
26.09.2026Laurent Lokoli W7-6, 6-2
25.09.2026Eric Vanshelboim W6-1, 7-6
24.09.2026Lorenzo Carboni W6-3, 6-3
23.09.2026Giacomo Crisostomo W7-5, 7-6
22.09.2026Lorenzo Beraldo W6-4, 6-2

Alexander Weis, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Matthew William Donald L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Matthew William Donald L5-7, 6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Lorenzo Berto W6-4, 7-5
14.10.2026Giuseppe La Vela W6-4, 5-7, 6-4
13.10.2026Jadon Price W6-0, 6-2
11.10.2026Daniel Michalski W1-6, 7-5, 6-1
10.10.2026Andrey Chepelev W7-5, 2-6, 6-1
09.10.2026Gabriele Crivellaro W6-2, 6-2
08.10.2026Rares Teodor Pieleanu W6-4, 7-6
07.10.2026Fausto Tabacco W6-4, 0-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDaniel MichalskiAlexander Weis
Florent Bax 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 5-7, 7-6
Giovanni Oradini 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Lorenzo Berto 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 7-5
Lorenzo Bocchi 1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Lukas Neumayer 0-1
L 4-6, 7-5, 6-0
0-1
L 6-2, 6-4
Matyas Cerny 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Mykyta Mashtakov 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3

Daniel Michalski vs Alexander Weis: quick answers

Who won Daniel Michalski vs Alexander Weis?

Alexander Weis beat Daniel Michalski 1-6, 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniel Michalski at 57%.

What is the head-to-head record between Daniel Michalski and Alexander Weis?

Alexander Weis leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Alexander Weis 1-6, 7-5, 6-1 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula VIII.

Who is in better form, Daniel Michalski or Alexander Weis?

Daniel Michalski is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Alexander Weis is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Daniel Michalski and Alexander Weis?

Daniel Michalski is rated 6618 (ATP #323) and Alexander Weis is rated 6501 (ATP #521). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Daniel Michalski vs Alexander Weis?

Daniel Michalski is priced at -476 and Alexander Weis at +276, which implies a 83% and 27% chance to win. The model rates Alexander Weis 16 points higher than the odds do (43% vs 27%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.