Mattia Nannelli vs Alexander Vasilev
Updated
Mattia Nannelli beat Alexander Vasilev 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alexander Vasilev at 87%. Mattia Nannelli leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nannelli is 7-3 in their last 10, Vasilev 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Alexander Vasilev a 87% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexander Vasilev at -667 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mattia Nannelli | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6250 | 6404 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1365 | ATP #774 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 9-8 | 22-19 |
| UTR | 12.98 | 13.86 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1344 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Mattia Nannelli leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Mattia Nannelli | 6-4, 6-3 | Bulgaria Burgas |
Recent form
Mattia Nannelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | George Lazarov | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matei Florin Breazu | W | 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Aleksandar Tolev | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Alexander Vasilev | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Rodion Chetverikov | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Andrea Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Aleksandar Konstantinov | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | David Tixhon | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Mikhail Osipov | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
Alexander Vasilev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Michel Hopp | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Nikolaos Chatziavraam | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Julio Cesar Porras | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mattia Nannelli | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Mihail Ivanov | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Felix Gill | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 11.09.2026 | Clement Chidekh | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Luc Fomba | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Herve Antchandie | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 01.09.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mattia Nannelli | Alexander Vasilev |
|---|---|---|
| George Lazarov | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1 |
| Sandro Kopp | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
0-2 L 6-1, 7-5, L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
Mattia Nannelli vs Alexander Vasilev: quick answers
Who won Mattia Nannelli vs Alexander Vasilev?
Mattia Nannelli beat Alexander Vasilev 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Alexander Vasilev at 87%.
What is the head-to-head record between Mattia Nannelli and Alexander Vasilev?
Mattia Nannelli leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Mattia Nannelli 6-4, 6-3 at Bulgaria Burgas.
Who is in better form, Mattia Nannelli or Alexander Vasilev?
Mattia Nannelli is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Alexander Vasilev is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mattia Nannelli and Alexander Vasilev?
Mattia Nannelli is rated 6250 (ATP #1365) and Alexander Vasilev is rated 6404 (ATP #774). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mattia Nannelli vs Alexander Vasilev?
Mattia Nannelli is priced at +400 and Alexander Vasilev at -667, which implies a 20% and 87% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.